The School of Odds
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FC Tokyo v Kashima Antlers

2026-11-07 06:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Tokyo (Local)

Prediction 46.07%2.17fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%45.98%46.07%47.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.992.002.0856.18%50.22%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kashima Antlers (Visit)

Prediction 27.53%3.63fair odd
EV -5.01%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.85%27.59%27.58%28.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.313.303.4532.79%30.25%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.40%3.79fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.269%
Kelly -0.367%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.39%26.43%26.35%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.443.453.7531.25%29.07%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Tokyo (Local): 46.07%; Kashima Antlers (Visit): 27.53%; Draw: 26.40%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -1.01%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.89%EV -4.18%E -2.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.75%EV -5.28%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.37%EV -4.44%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-31 08:45
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.88%EV -4.18%E -2.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.98%EV -6.11%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14%EV -3.65%E -0.999%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-31 08:25
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.77%EV -4.18%E -2.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.01%E -0.269%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -5.10%E -2.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 09:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -5.10%E -2.48%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 09:20
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.89%E -3.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 08:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.89%E -3.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 08:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.89%E -3.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 08:30
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.89%E -3.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 08:35
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -6.48%E -3.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 07:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.80%EV -6.48%E -3.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -8.59%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.29%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 08:05
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 07:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 07:55
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -7.86%E -3.93%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.89%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -6.29%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 08:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.79%E -4.44%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 07:45
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -8.79%E -4.44%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.25%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 07:35
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -8.79%E -4.44%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.25%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 07:35
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.17%E -5.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.61%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 08:00
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.17%E -5.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.25%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-31 07:45
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -12.01%E -6.29%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -15.53%E -4.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-31 08:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.25%EV -12.47%E -6.56%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.25%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-31 07:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.62%EV -13.39%E -7.12%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.22%EV -11.34%E -3.52%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -11.57%E -3.45%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-31 07:43
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.01%EV -14.31%E -7.70%K -16.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%EV -16.02%E -5.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -12.89%E -3.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-31 07:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 47.52%EV -18.00%E -10.11%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.85%EV -13.27%E -4.21%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.63%EV -12.89%E -3.91%K -5.60%G +0.000%18.2%2026-10-31 07:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 46.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.18%7.0%2026-10-31 12:10
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 45.45%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.71%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.84%16.4%2026-10-31 07:50