La scuola delle quote

FC Machida Zelvia v Nagoya Grampus

Inizio: 2026-06-06 06:00 UTC

Finale: FC Machida Zelvia 2–1 Nagoya Grampus

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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22 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Machida Zelvia (Casa)

Previsione 44.32%2.26quota equa
EV -3.82%
Vantaggio -1.76%
Kelly -3.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.57%44.31%44.32%45.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.982.072.092.1750.51%48.21%47.85%46.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nagoya Grampus (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.17%3.68quota equa
EV -4.09%
Vantaggio -1.16%
Kelly -1.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.02%27.14%27.22%27.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.373.403.5331.25%29.65%29.41%28.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.51%3.51quota equa
EV -1.65%
Vantaggio -0.478%
Kelly -0.674%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.40%28.55%28.46%29.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.193.203.4532.26%31.31%31.25%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (22 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.57%EV -3.82%E -1.76%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.40%EV -4.09%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -1.65%E -0.478%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 05:50
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.26%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 05:39
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.35%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 05:19
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -5.36%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 05:49
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-06 05:39
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 05:09
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-06 05:09
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-06 05:30
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-06 05:19
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-06 05:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.92%E -3.30%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-06 05:30
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -7.81%E -3.75%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -6.26%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 05:19
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -7.81%E -3.75%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -6.26%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 05:19
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-06 05:29
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-06 05:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-06 05:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-06 05:09
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-06 05:09
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.01%EV -10.47%E -5.18%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.58%EV -7.08%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-06 05:38
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -11.35%E -5.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-06 05:39
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.35%E -5.68%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-06 05:19
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.50%EV -12.24%E -6.18%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -10.20%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-06 05:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-06-06 05:50