默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Machida Zelvia v Kashima Antlers

开赛时间： 2026-03-18 10:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

40%

30%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Machida Zelvia (主队)

预测 40.23%2.49公平赔率

EV -3.05%

优势 -1.27%

Kelly -2.17%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.41

博彩公司预测分布

39.59%40.27%40.21%41.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.102.262.252.4147.62%44.26%44.44%41.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kashima Antlers (客队)

预测 29.85%3.35公平赔率

EV -2.99%

优势 -0.920%

Kelly -1.33%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布

29.22%29.82%29.90%30.16%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.903.073.103.2534.48%32.60%32.26%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.92%3.34公平赔率

EV -3.05%

优势 -0.941%

Kelly -1.36%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.24

博彩公司预测分布

28.86%29.90%29.90%31.16%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.903.023.003.2434.48%33.07%33.33%30.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：FC Machida Zelvia (主队)：40.23%；Kashima Antlers (客队)：29.85%；平局：29.92%。对于“Kashima Antlers (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.35。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.25，期望值为-2.99%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.41I 41.49%NM 40.16%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.17%G +0.000%	3.23I 30.96%NM 29.97%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%	3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -3.05%E -0.941%K -1.36%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-18 10:05
BetAnything🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -2.99%E -0.920%K -1.33%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-18 10:04
DraftKings🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.97%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-18 10:14
BetMGM🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.24%E -2.33%K -3.45%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-18 08:55
Marathon Bet🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.24%E -2.33%K -3.45%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-18 10:09
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.97%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-18 08:55
Betway🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.24%E -2.33%K -3.45%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-03-18 10:05
Betsson🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-03-18 08:55
NordicBet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-03-18 08:55
888sport🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-03-18 09:05
William Hill🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-03-18 09:05
888sport (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-03-18 09:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-03-18 09:05
BoyleSports🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-03-18 09:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%	12.3%	2026-03-18 09:30
Coral🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%	12.3%	2026-03-18 09:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%	12.3%	2026-03-18 09:30
Neds🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%	12.3%	2026-03-18 09:30
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.96%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-03-18 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -11.73%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-03-18 10:04
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -13.44%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%	14.3%	2026-03-18 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.11I 47.39%NM 41.27%EV -15.12%E -7.17%K -13.62%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 29.22%EV -11.05%E -3.71%K -5.58%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -11.73%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%	14.8%	2026-03-18 10:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -15.52%E -7.39%K -14.11%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 29.22%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.13%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%	16.0%	2026-03-18 10:05

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。