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FC Machida Zelvia v JEF United Chiba
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia (Local)
assuming max odds 1.74
JEF United Chiba (Visit)
assuming max odds 5.09
Draw
assuming max odds 3.76
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Machida Zelvia (Local): 54.71%; JEF United Chiba (Visit): 19.64%; Draw: 25.65%. For JEF United Chiba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.093. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.090, with an expected value of -0.058%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.41%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.94%EV -0.058%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.64%EV -3.55%E -0.943%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-27 09:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.21%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -3.79%E -0.773%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -8.70%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 09:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.41%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -8.70%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 09:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -9.68%E -2.10%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.65%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.47%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.09%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-27 09:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -8.63%E -5.17%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -6.73%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 09:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.10%EV -11.37%E -7.02%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -17.53%E -4.17%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-27 09:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.92%EV -11.91%E -7.40%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.92%EV -18.51%E -4.46%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.16%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-27 09:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.02%EV -12.46%E -7.79%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.34%EV -16.55%E -3.89%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 25.65%EV -13.55%E -4.02%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-02-27 09:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.