Sign in with Sole Account
Language:English
FC Machida Zelvia v Avispa Fukuoka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia (Local)
Prediction 53.03%1.89fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.17%52.87%53.14%54.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.771.761.8562.89%56.58%56.82%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Avispa Fukuoka (Visit)
Prediction 19.46%5.14fair odd
EV +0.803%
Edge +0.155%
Kelly +0.192%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 5.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.36%19.56%19.38%21.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.574.605.1825.00%21.90%21.74%19.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.51%3.64fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.660%
Kelly -0.919%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.46%27.57%27.48%29.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.303.303.5532.26%30.26%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Machida Zelvia (Local): 53.03%; Avispa Fukuoka (Visit): 19.46%; Draw: 27.51%. For Avispa Fukuoka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.803%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.42%EV -5.60%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.36%EV +0.803%E +0.155%K +0.192%G +0.002% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.22%EV -7.30%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-18 06:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.70%E -0.540%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-18 06:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.38%EV -4.01%E -2.22%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.40%EV -3.09%E -0.620%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -2.34%E -0.660%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-18 06:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.45%EV -3.48%E -1.91%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.48%EV -4.65%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-18 06:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.45%EV -3.48%E -1.91%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.48%EV -4.65%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-18 06:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.45%EV -3.48%E -1.91%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.48%EV -4.65%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-18 06:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.59%EV -11.44%E -6.85%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -4.65%E -0.948%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.72%EV -4.54%E -2.52%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.77%EV -6.59%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -4.54%E -2.52%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -6.59%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 06:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -7.73%E -4.44%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -6.59%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-18 06:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.35%EV -7.73%E -4.44%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -6.59%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-18 06:50 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.64%EV -8.79%E -5.11%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -6.59%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -6.47%E -1.90%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.20%EV -8.79%E -5.11%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -6.59%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-18 06:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.20%EV -8.79%E -5.11%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -6.59%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-18 06:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -4.54%E -2.52%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -3.72%E -1.06%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-18 06:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.46%EV -5.60%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 06:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.38%EV -6.13%E -3.47%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-18 05:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.73%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-18 06:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.73%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-18 06:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.73%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-18 06:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.73%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -7.56%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-18 06:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -11.44%E -6.85%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.21%EV -9.51%E -2.05%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.31%EV -10.05%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-18 06:33 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 54.61%EV -15.68%E -9.86%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.67%EV -9.51%E -2.05%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.72%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-18 06:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -5.60%E -3.15%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -10.48%E -2.28%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.52%EV -7.02%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 06:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -6.13%E -3.47%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -10.48%E -2.28%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -9.85%E -5.79%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.48%E -2.28%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -5.09%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 06:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-18 06:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -8.79%E -5.11%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-18 06:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-18 06:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-18 06:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 06:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 06:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 06:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.95%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.97%E -3.74%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-18 06:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.34%EV -10.91%E -6.49%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -12.43%E -2.76%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-18 06:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -8.26%E -4.77%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.41%EV -15.74%E -3.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -14.72%E -4.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-18 06:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -1.89%E -1.02%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -17.29%E -4.07%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-18 06:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -1.89%E -1.02%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -17.29%E -4.07%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -7.85%E -2.34%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-18 06:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -2.95%E -1.61%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -17.29%E -4.07%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -2.95%E -1.61%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -17.29%E -4.07%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 06:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -2.95%E -1.61%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -18.27%E -4.35%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 05:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -2.95%E -1.61%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -18.27%E -4.35%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 05:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -2.95%E -1.61%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -18.27%E -4.35%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 05:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -2.95%E -1.61%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -18.27%E -4.35%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 05:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -2.95%E -1.61%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -18.27%E -4.35%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 05:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -2.95%E -1.61%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -18.27%E -4.35%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 05:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -2.95%E -1.61%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -18.27%E -4.35%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -9.22%E -2.79%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 05:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.30%EV -4.01%E -2.22%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -18.27%E -4.35%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-18 06:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.30%EV -4.01%E -2.22%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -18.27%E -4.35%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.60%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-18 06:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.17%EV -7.20%E -4.11%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -22.16%E -5.54%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -13.35%E -4.24%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-18 05:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.44% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.9% | 2026-10-18 06:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.48% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.81% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 06:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 06:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 06:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30% | 1.7% | 2026-10-18 06:55 |