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Fagiano Okayama v Vissel Kobe
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama (Local)
Prediction 33.04%3.03fair odd
EV +2.08%
Edge +0.673%
Kelly +0.995%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 3.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.77%32.99%32.98%34.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.803.0938.46%35.79%35.71%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vissel Kobe (Visit)
Prediction 37.46%2.67fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.711%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.22%37.46%37.60%39.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.452.432.6244.44%40.88%41.15%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.51%3.39fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.796%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.46%29.55%29.42%30.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.103.103.3033.90%32.24%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fagiano Okayama (Local): 33.04%; Vissel Kobe (Visit): 37.46%; Draw: 29.51%. For Fagiano Okayama (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.77%EV +2.08%E +0.673%K +0.995%G +0.021% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -7.85%E -3.19%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.57%EV -8.23%E -2.65%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.70%EV -2.22%E -0.748%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -2.63%E -0.796%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.94%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.61%E -1.00%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.32%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -4.20%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%EV -5.52%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.57%EV -1.86%E -0.711%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.94%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.50%EV -5.52%E -1.93%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.57%EV -1.86%E -0.711%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.94%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.63%E -0.796%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 04:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 04:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 04:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-18 04:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -7.11%E -2.87%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 04:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -7.11%E -2.87%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 04:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-18 04:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-18 04:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 04:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -13.85%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-18 04:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -4.48%E -1.76%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 04:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.98%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 04:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.98%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 04:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.98%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 04:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.98%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 04:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.98%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 04:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.98%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 04:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.71%EV -8.98%E -3.69%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 04:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.00%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-18 04:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -7.50%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.00%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-18 04:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.50%EV -8.16%E -2.94%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.66%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.84%EV -7.94%E -2.54%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-18 04:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 05:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-18 04:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.28%EV -5.61%E -2.23%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-18 04:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.28%EV -5.61%E -2.23%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-18 04:00 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-18 04:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.15%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.80%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-18 04:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.80%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.80%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.85%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -10.80%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -11.23%E -4.74%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -10.80%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -11.23%E -4.74%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-18 04:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -10.80%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.70%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.77%EV -12.95%E -4.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-18 04:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -10.80%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -15.72%E -6.99%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-18 04:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.32%EV -11.47%E -4.28%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.91%EV -9.35%E -3.86%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-18 04:27 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -12.46%E -4.70%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 04:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -13.12%E -4.99%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -8.23%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-18 04:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -13.45%E -5.13%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.36%E -2.54%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-18 04:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -14.11%E -5.43%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.10%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -10.00%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-18 04:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45% | 1.4% | 2026-10-18 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45% | 1.4% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45% | 1.4% | 2026-10-18 04:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.45% | 1.4% | 2026-10-18 04:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00% | 2.6% | 2026-10-18 04:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 3.1% | 2026-10-18 04:45 |