默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fagiano Okayama v Nagoya Grampus

开赛时间： 2026-03-01 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

30%

39%

31%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fagiano Okayama (主队)

预测 29.82%3.35公平赔率

EV -1.30%

优势 -0.393%

Kelly -0.564%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.31

博彩公司预测分布

29.25%29.86%29.85%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.903.063.103.3134.48%32.71%32.26%30.21%最小值均值中位数最大值

Nagoya Grampus (客队)

预测 39.44%2.54公平赔率

EV -4.56%

优势 -1.88%

Kelly -3.21%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.42

博彩公司预测分布

38.46%39.42%39.41%40.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.172.312.302.4246.08%43.23%43.48%41.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.74%3.25公平赔率

EV -3.16%

优势 -1.00%

Kelly -1.47%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布

29.92%30.73%30.74%31.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.852.962.903.1535.09%33.81%34.48%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fagiano Okayama (主队)：29.82%；Nagoya Grampus (客队)：39.44%；平局：30.74%。对于“Fagiano Okayama (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.35。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.31，期望值为-1.30%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	3.31I 30.21%NM 29.25%EV -1.30%E -0.393%K -0.564%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.01%EV -4.56%E -1.88%K -3.21%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-01 04:45
DraftKings🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.24%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-01 04:54
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -6.24%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-01 04:24
Marathon Bet🎯	3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.97%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.66%EV -7.32%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%	3.06I 32.68%NM 30.46%EV -5.93%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-01 04:50
BetAnything🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -6.24%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-01 04:45
BetMGM🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.13%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-01 03:25
NordicBet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%EV -7.32%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -8.39%E -2.81%K -4.24%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-03-01 04:25
Betsson🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27%EV -7.32%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -8.39%E -2.81%K -4.24%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-03-01 04:25
888sport🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-03-01 03:25
William Hill🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-03-01 03:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-03-01 03:25
888sport (SE)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-03-01 03:25
Betway🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-03-01 04:49
Winamax (DE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -6.24%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-03-01 04:25
BoyleSports🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-03-01 03:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-03-01 03:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-03-01 03:25
Neds🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-03-01 03:25
Coral🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.55%E -3.52%K -5.27%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.29%E -4.04%K -7.15%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-03-01 03:25
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.98I 33.56%NM 29.41%EV -11.14%E -3.74%K -5.63%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -13.23%E -6.02%K -11.03%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 30.75%EV -12.38%E -4.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%	14.1%	2026-03-01 04:34
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -12.04%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -13.23%E -6.02%K -11.03%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -12.38%E -4.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%	14.4%	2026-03-01 04:24
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 29.46%EV -12.04%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 40.05%EV -14.42%E -6.64%K -12.32%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 30.49%EV -12.38%E -4.35%K -6.69%G +0.000%	15.1%	2026-03-01 04:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -13.23%E -6.02%K -11.03%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%	14.4%	2026-03-01 04:25

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。