Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fagiano Okayama v Mito HollyHock

2026-10-21 10:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fagiano Okayama (Local)

Prediction 48.94%2.04fair odd
EV -6.03%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -6.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.61%48.94%48.94%48.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.881.9255.56%53.23%53.19%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mito HollyHock (Visit)

Prediction 23.59%4.24fair odd
EV -7.99%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.59%23.59%23.59%23.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.853.853.9027.03%25.95%25.97%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.47%3.64fair odd
EV -6.62%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.38%27.47%27.47%27.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.343.353.4031.25%29.95%29.85%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fagiano Okayama (Local): 48.94%; Mito HollyHock (Visit): 23.59%; Draw: 27.47%. For Fagiano Okayama (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.92, with an expected value of -6.03%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -6.03%E -3.14%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.99%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-16 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -6.03%E -3.14%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.99%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-16 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -7.99%E -4.25%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.99%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-16 10:10
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -7.99%E -4.25%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.99%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-16 10:09
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.99%E -4.25%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.17%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 10:09
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.99%E -4.25%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.17%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.99%E -4.25%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.17%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 10:10
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.99%E -4.25%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.17%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 10:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.99%E -4.25%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.17%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 10:09
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.99%E -4.25%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.17%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 10:09
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -7.99%E -4.25%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.17%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.72%EV -8.48%E -4.53%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.17%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-16 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.72%EV -8.48%E -4.53%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV -9.17%E -2.38%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-16 10:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.80%EV -11.90%E -6.61%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -12.71%E -3.43%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-16 10:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 40.64%1.85I 54.05%NM 27.90%1.64I 60.98%NM 31.47%93.8%2026-10-16 13:20