L’École des cotesFrançais
Fagiano Okayama v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fagiano Okayama (Local)
Prévision 19.86%5.03cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -0.585%
Kelly -0.736%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.89
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.57%20.03%19.84%21.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.574.604.8923.81%21.90%21.74%20.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 55.40%1.81cote équitable
EV -5.27%
Avantage -3.08%
Kelly -7.42%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.72%55.28%55.39%56.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.671.671.7162.50%59.97%59.88%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.74%4.04cote équitable
EV -0.563%
Avantage -0.140%
Kelly -0.187%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.92%24.68%24.77%25.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.703.684.0227.78%27.03%27.17%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (23 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.70%EV -2.86%E -0.585%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.34%EV -5.27%E -3.08%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.96%EV -0.563%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-02 03:41 |
| DraftKings | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -4.65%E -0.969%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.01%EV -6.37%E -3.77%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.53%E -0.906%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 03:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV -5.64%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.82%E -3.42%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.01%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 03:40 |
| BetMGM | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.64%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.36%EV -6.37%E -3.77%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 03:50 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -5.64%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.48%E -4.48%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 03:40 |
| BetAnything | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -6.64%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -5.82%E -3.42%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.01%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 03:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.64%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -6.93%E -4.12%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -6.50%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 03:45 |
| NordicBet | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.63%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.27%EV -6.93%E -4.12%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 03:41 |
| Betsson | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -7.63%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.27%EV -6.93%E -4.12%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.24%E -1.93%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 03:40 |
| 888sport | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.62%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.48%E -4.48%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 03:45 |
| William Hill | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.62%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.48%E -4.48%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 03:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.62%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.48%E -4.48%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 03:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.62%E -1.87%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.48%E -4.48%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 03:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.96%EV -9.62%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.37%EV -9.14%E -5.58%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.67%EV -8.97%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 03:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.85%EV -9.62%E -2.11%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.75%EV -10.25%E -6.33%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -8.48%E -2.29%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 03:41 |
| betfred_uk | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.82%E -3.42%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 03:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -12.60%E -2.86%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -9.14%E -5.58%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.01%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 03:40 |
| Coral | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -12.60%E -2.86%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.55%EV -8.59%E -5.21%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 03:50 |
| Neds | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -12.60%E -2.86%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.55%EV -8.59%E -5.21%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -12.60%E -2.86%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.55%EV -8.59%E -5.21%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -12.60%E -2.86%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.55%EV -8.59%E -5.21%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 03:50 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -16.57%E -3.94%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.48%E -4.48%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 02:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -16.57%E -3.94%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.78%EV -11.36%E -7.10%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.95%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-02 03:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 2.1% | 2026-05-02 03:50 |