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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Fagiano Okayama v Avispa Fukuoka

开赛时间： 2026-04-25 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fagiano Okayama (主队)

预测 41.53%2.41公平赔率
EV -6.15%
优势 -2.72%
Kelly -4.88%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.26

博彩公司预测分布
40.39%41.44%41.56%42.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.212.252.2647.62%45.30%44.44%44.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Avispa Fukuoka (客队)

预测 29.21%3.42公平赔率
EV -3.60%
优势 -1.09%
Kelly -1.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.68%29.23%29.22%30.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.113.103.3035.09%32.16%32.26%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.26%3.42公平赔率
EV -4.03%
优势 -1.23%
Kelly -1.77%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.28

博彩公司预测分布
28.45%29.33%29.22%30.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.133.103.2833.33%31.94%32.26%30.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fagiano Okayama (主队)：41.53%；Avispa Fukuoka (客队)：29.21%；平局：29.26%。 对于“Avispa Fukuoka (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.42。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.30，期望值为-3.60%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.13%EV -6.15%E -2.72%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.03%EV -4.03%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 10:45
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 05:24
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 12:09
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 10:44
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 10:50
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 06:34
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 11:19
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 11:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 11:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 11:24
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.56%E -2.92%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.66%EV -6.98%E -3.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.53%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 08:14
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 10:59
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.64%E -3.93%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 09:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -9.88%E -4.55%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.05%EV -8.57%E -2.74%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.05%EV -8.42%E -2.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 05:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.68%EV -10.71%E -4.98%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-22 10:50
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.71%E -4.98%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 06:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.71%E -4.98%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 06:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.71%E -4.98%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 06:35
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.71%E -4.98%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 06:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.79%E -6.09%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 05:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.04%EV -12.79%E -6.09%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.24%EV -16.75%E -5.88%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-22 10:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 41.15%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.92%7.1%2026-04-24 00:40