Language:English
Cerezo Osaka v Yokohama F Marinos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka (Local)
Prediction 43.16%2.32fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.32%43.21%43.20%44.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.102.122.2251.28%47.53%47.17%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yokohama F Marinos (Visit)
Prediction 30.88%3.24fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.370%
Kelly -0.538%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.18%30.83%30.89%31.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.023.003.2035.71%33.08%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.96%3.85fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%25.96%25.91%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.533.553.6930.77%28.35%28.17%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cerezo Osaka (Local): 43.16%; Yokohama F Marinos (Visit): 30.88%; Draw: 25.96%. For Yokohama F Marinos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.02%EV -4.18%E -1.88%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.11%EV -5.20%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.88%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 06:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.82%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.88%EV -4.47%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 06:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.05%E -2.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.27%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 01:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.27%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 06:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -5.91%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.27%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 06:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.06%EV -6.77%E -3.14%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.11%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 06:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 01:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 05:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 01:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 20:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 01:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 07:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 07:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 07:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-03 06:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.44%E -3.03%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-03 05:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -8.50%E -4.01%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.44%E -3.03%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-03 05:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.36%E -4.46%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 01:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -1.18%E -0.370%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 05:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -1.18%E -0.370%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 05:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.76%EV -11.09%E -5.38%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -2.73%E -0.866%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 05:06 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.76%EV -11.09%E -5.38%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -2.73%E -0.866%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 05:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -2.73%E -0.866%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 05:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -2.73%E -0.866%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 05:06 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -2.73%E -0.866%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 05:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -2.73%E -0.866%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 05:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -2.73%E -0.866%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 05:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -2.73%E -0.866%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 05:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -2.73%E -0.866%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 05:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.54%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.32%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -7.84%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.06%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-03 17:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -11.52%E -5.62%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -13.54%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -15.63%E -4.81%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-10-05 01:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -12.82%E -6.34%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -4.27%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-05 05:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -12.82%E -6.34%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -4.27%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-05 05:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.42%EV -12.82%E -6.34%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-03 05:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.75%EV -13.68%E -6.84%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -13.54%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.52%EV -15.84%E -8.12%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.94%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-04 05:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.72% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.73% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 30.97% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30% | 17.0% | 2026-10-03 06:00 |