L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Cerezo Osaka v V-Varen Nagasaki
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cerezo Osaka (Local)
Prévision 54.58%1.83cote équitable
EV +0.980%
Avantage +0.530%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.98%54.29%54.51%55.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.701.701.8561.73%58.99%58.82%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
V-Varen Nagasaki (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.04%4.75cote équitable
EV -0.691%
Avantage -0.146%
Kelly -0.186%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.72
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.40%21.31%21.00%24.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.334.404.7226.32%23.09%22.73%21.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.38%4.10cote équitable
EV -0.546%
Avantage -0.134%
Kelly -0.177%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.60%24.40%24.49%25.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.753.754.0827.78%26.65%26.67%24.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (23 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV +0.980%E +0.530%K +1.15%G +0.011% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -20.05%E -5.28%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 16:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.02%E -2.89%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.91%EV -4.27%E -0.938%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -4.93%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 06:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.99%EV -6.12%E -3.56%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.40%EV -0.691%E -0.146%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%EV -0.546%E -0.134%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 06:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -6.66%E -3.90%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -3.22%E -0.699%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -3.71%E -0.940%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 06:23 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -6.66%E -3.90%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 06:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.94%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -6.37%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -5.42%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 06:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.32%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.37%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 05:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -6.37%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 05:49 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -6.37%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 05:49 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 06:14 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 06:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 06:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.21%E -4.24%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 06:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.46%EV -8.30%E -4.94%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -6.15%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 05:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.49%EV -8.84%E -5.30%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -8.48%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 06:33 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -8.84%E -5.30%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.59%E -2.29%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 06:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.84%E -5.30%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 05:49 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.84%E -5.30%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 05:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.84%E -5.30%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 05:49 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.84%E -5.30%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 05:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.94%EV -10.48%E -6.39%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -8.48%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 06:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.09%EV -11.57%E -7.14%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -15.84%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -11.03%E -3.02%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-09 05:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |