La scuola delle quote

Cerezo Osaka v Shimizu S Pulse

Inizio: 2026-03-07 06:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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23 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cerezo Osaka (Casa)

Previsione 43.51%2.30quota equa
EV -5.59%
Vantaggio -2.58%
Kelly -4.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.90%43.50%43.53%44.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.992.102.132.1750.25%47.66%46.95%46.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shimizu S Pulse (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.05%3.33quota equa
EV -0.841%
Vantaggio -0.255%
Kelly -0.366%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.30%30.05%30.07%30.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.043.003.3035.09%32.94%33.33%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.45%3.78quota equa
EV -2.15%
Vantaggio -0.581%
Kelly -0.797%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.97%26.45%26.39%27.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.433.453.7030.77%29.15%28.99%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.56%EV -5.59%E -2.58%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -0.841%E -0.255%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV -2.15%E -0.581%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 05:40
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 05:44
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 04:09
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 00:24
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 05:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 19:04
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 04:09
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.35%E -2.74%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 04:09
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 05:49
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 05:50
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.46%E -3.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 05:50
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.82%EV -7.33%E -3.44%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -5.32%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 05:45
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.85%E -2.21%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 19:00
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 04:10
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.81%E -5.27%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 05:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.81%E -5.27%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 00:25
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.81%E -5.27%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.81%E -5.27%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 00:24
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.81%E -5.27%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.86%E -3.29%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 00:24
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.54%EV -12.12%E -6.00%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -11.36%E -3.85%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-07 05:31
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -12.99%E -6.49%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -14.36%E -5.04%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -11.41%E -3.41%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-07 04:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.38%EV -12.99%E -6.49%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -12.86%E -4.43%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.25%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-07 05:34
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.11%EV -13.42%E -6.74%K -13.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.45%EV -10.46%E -3.51%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.44%EV -12.20%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 05:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.