L’École des cotesFrançais
Cerezo Osaka v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cerezo Osaka (Local)
Prévision 25.77%3.88cote équitable
EV +1.80%
Avantage +0.457%
Kelly +0.612%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 3.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.50%25.77%25.80%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.533.503.9530.30%28.34%28.57%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 48.10%2.08cote équitable
EV -3.81%
Avantage -1.90%
Kelly -3.81%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.30%48.13%48.14%49.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.891.912.0055.56%52.90%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.13%3.83cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -0.535%
Kelly -0.730%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.78%26.10%26.06%27.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.503.503.7529.85%28.55%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (23 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%EV +1.80%E +0.457%K +0.612%G +0.011% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.39%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.11%EV -6.71%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-22 01:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -4.64%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -4.62%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 07:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -5.15%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.04%EV -6.70%E -3.45%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.54%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:05 |
| BetAnything | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -5.93%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 03:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.22%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.22%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-22 01:00 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.22%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-22 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.22%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-22 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.22%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-22 01:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.51%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.64%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -4.62%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 03:30 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.51%E -2.40%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -7.66%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.23%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| BetMGM | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.14%E -4.26%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -2.01%E -0.535%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.54%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 21:55 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.06%E -5.38%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 06:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -8.62%E -4.54%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.42I 29.24%NM 25.60%EV -11.86%E -3.47%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.64%EV -13.43%E -7.46%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -11.15%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-02-21 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.54%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.54%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.54%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Neds | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.02%E -5.96%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.54%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-21 20:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.97%EV -11.99%E -6.55%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-22 01:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -12.37%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.36%EV -12.95%E -7.15%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.90%EV -11.68%E -3.45%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-02-22 00:03 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.95%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -11.50%E -6.25%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -9.85%E -2.85%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-02-21 23:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.