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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Cerezo Osaka v FC Tokyo

2026-11-21 06:00 UTC — J League

胜负盘

28 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cerezo Osaka (主队)

预测 19.15%5.22公平赔率
EV +0.540%
优势 +0.103%
Kelly +0.127%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 5.25

博彩公司预测分布
18.17%19.10%19.14%20.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.104.734.805.2524.39%21.12%20.83%19.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Tokyo (客队)

预测 58.33%1.71公平赔率
EV -4.92%
优势 -3.02%
Kelly -7.81%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.63

博彩公司预测分布
56.58%58.35%58.29%59.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.571.581.6369.93%63.55%63.29%61.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.52%4.44公平赔率
EV -2.95%
优势 -0.684%
Kelly -0.890%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.31

博彩公司预测分布
21.74%22.55%22.57%23.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.654.054.054.3127.40%24.68%24.69%23.20%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Cerezo Osaka (主队)：19.15%；FC Tokyo (客队)：58.33%；平局：22.52%。 对于“Cerezo Osaka (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.22。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为5.25，由此产生+0.540%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.17%EV +0.540%E +0.103%K +0.127%G +0.001%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.64%EV -6.67%E -4.17%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -3.17%E -0.738%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-14 09:24
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.25%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.42%E -5.36%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -3.17%E -0.738%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-14 09:09
FanDuel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.25%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -8.42%E -5.36%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -3.17%E -0.738%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-14 09:14
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.25%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -7.25%E -4.56%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-14 09:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.25%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.42%E -5.36%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 09:10
Pinnacle🎯4.96I 20.16%NM 19.15%EV -5.01%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.65%EV -5.50%E -3.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.20%EV -3.62%E -0.846%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-14 09:25
1xBet🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 19.38%EV -5.78%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.50%EV -4.92%E -3.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12%EV -2.95%E -0.684%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-14 09:14
Bovada🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -5.50%E -3.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-14 17:17
BetOnline.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -6.09%E -3.78%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-14 10:49
LowVig.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -6.09%E -3.78%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-14 10:50
Bet Right🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.16%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -9.00%E -5.77%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-14 09:25
Marathon Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -7.25%E -4.56%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 09:09
DraftKings🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -6.09%E -3.78%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-14 11:39
Betsson🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.16%EV -7.84%E -4.96%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -8.80%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 09:15
NordicBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.16%EV -7.84%E -4.96%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -8.80%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-14 09:15
Tipico (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.08%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -9.59%E -6.18%K -17.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-15 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -7.84%E -4.96%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-14 09:15
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -9.04%E -1.90%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.75%E -7.03%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-14 09:15
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -5.50%E -3.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-14 14:44
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.09%E -3.78%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-14 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.09%E -3.78%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-14 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -11.91%E -2.59%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.09%E -3.78%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-14 14:40
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.59%E -6.18%K -17.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-14 09:15
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -13.82%E -3.07%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.05%EV -11.92%E -7.89%K -23.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-14 09:14
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -17.08%E -3.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.95%EV -10.75%E -7.03%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.8%2026-11-14 09:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -17.65%E -4.11%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.69%EV -11.34%E -7.46%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-14 09:15
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 19.66%EV -19.57%E -4.66%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 57.73%EV -16.59%E -11.60%K -38.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 22.62%EV -17.81%E -4.88%K -6.72%G +0.000%21.1%2026-11-14 09:14
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 20.90%EV -21.48%E -5.24%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.13%EV -12.50%E -8.34%K -25.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.97%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-14 09:15
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.10%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.87%5.1%2026-11-15 00:00
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 20.02%1.51I 66.23%NM 57.02%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.96%16.1%2026-11-14 09:15

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