La scuola delle quote

Cerezo Osaka v Fagiano Okayama

Inizio: 2026-03-18 09:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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23 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cerezo Osaka (Casa)

Previsione 47.85%2.09quota equa
EV -4.30%
Vantaggio -2.15%
Kelly -4.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.16%47.69%47.93%48.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.921.922.0055.56%52.13%52.08%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fagiano Okayama (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.14%3.98quota equa
EV -3.73%
Vantaggio -0.974%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.90%25.22%25.08%25.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.603.603.8329.41%27.75%27.78%26.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.01%3.70quota equa
EV -1.40%
Vantaggio -0.384%
Kelly -0.530%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.12%27.09%26.99%28.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.363.403.6531.25%29.76%29.41%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.23%EV -3.73%E -0.974%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -1.40%E -0.384%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-18 09:20
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.30%E -2.15%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 09:24
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -5.25%E -2.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 09:25
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 09:25
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.56%E -4.24%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 09:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.56%E -4.24%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 09:24
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.56%E -4.24%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 09:24
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.69%E -3.43%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.56%E -4.24%K -6.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 09:24
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.10%EV -7.17%E -3.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -6.50%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 09:24
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -7.65%E -3.96%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -4.10%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 08:35
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -8.12%E -4.23%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 09:19
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -8.12%E -4.23%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 09:20
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 09:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 09:20
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 09:19
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 09:19
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.60%E -4.50%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-18 09:25
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -9.08%E -4.78%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-18 09:20
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.84%EV -11.95%E -6.50%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-18 09:20
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.94%EV -12.43%E -6.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-18 09:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 47.84%EV -13.39%E -7.40%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.10%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.06%EV -13.56%E -4.24%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-18 09:20
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -13.87%E -7.70%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 24.97%EV -12.53%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-18 09:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.93%4.0%2026-03-18 09:24