Idioma:Español
Avispa Fukuoka v Vissel Kobe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Avispa Fukuoka (Local)
Predicción 27.03%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -0.593%
Kelly -0.819%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.53%26.93%27.10%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.403.403.6231.25%29.40%29.41%27.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Vissel Kobe (Visitante)
Predicción 42.02%2.38momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -0.714%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.75%42.18%41.98%44.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.182.202.3450.00%45.90%45.45%42.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.95%3.23momio equitativo
EV -4.06%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -1.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.79%30.90%30.92%32.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.872.972.983.1034.84%33.68%33.56%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Avispa Fukuoka (Local): 27.03%; Vissel Kobe (Visitante): 42.02%; Empate: 30.95%. Para Vissel Kobe (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.38. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.34, con un valor esperado de -1.67%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.56%EV -2.15%E -0.593%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.81%EV -3.35%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.63%EV -5.92%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.69%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -4.85%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -6.71%E -3.02%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.75%EV -1.67%E -0.714%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.00%EV -7.77%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.75%EV -1.67%E -0.714%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.00%EV -7.77%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.75%EV -1.67%E -0.714%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.00%EV -7.77%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -11.76%E -5.60%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -11.76%E -5.60%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -15.96%E -7.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -15.96%E -7.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -15.96%E -7.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -5.39%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -15.96%E -7.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 07:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.61%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.74%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.61%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.67%EV -7.28%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91%EV -2.51%E -1.08%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.42%EV -6.54%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 09:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.92%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -7.77%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.92%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -7.77%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -11.76%E -5.60%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.96%EV -8.90%E -2.64%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.25%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -5.45%E -2.42%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -9.44%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -11.76%E -5.60%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.80%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.16%E -2.39%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 09:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.55%E -3.43%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -11.18%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.15%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -11.18%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.50%E -4.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -9.66%E -4.49%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -13.50%E -4.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -11.76%E -5.60%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 09:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |