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Avispa Fukuoka v V-Varen Nagasaki

2026-11-07 06:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Avispa Fukuoka (Local)

Prediction 45.11%2.22fair odd
EV -5.26%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -4.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.29%45.15%45.10%46.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.842.032.052.1054.35%49.23%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit)

Prediction 27.09%3.69fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.685%
Kelly -0.949%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.42%27.06%27.09%27.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.373.403.6032.79%29.69%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.79%3.60fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -0.777%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.18%27.79%27.82%28.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.38%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Avispa Fukuoka (Local): 45.11%; V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit): 27.09%; Draw: 27.79%. For V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -2.47%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.26%E -2.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.64%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.43%EV -3.27%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 06:25
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.38%EV -5.26%E -2.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.39%EV -3.27%E -0.941%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 06:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.26%E -2.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 05:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.26%E -2.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 05:35
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.26%E -2.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 06:58
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.27%EV -6.62%E -3.20%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 05:55
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.47%E -0.685%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -2.72%E -0.777%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 05:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.22%EV -7.34%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 06:10
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 05:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 05:55
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 05:30
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.67%E -2.97%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 05:20
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.67%E -2.97%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 05:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.67%E -2.97%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 05:30
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-01 06:15
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-01 06:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-01 06:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.52%E -3.67%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-01 06:15
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -9.77%E -4.89%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -6.89%E -2.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 05:15
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -9.77%E -4.89%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 05:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.75%EV -11.58%E -5.91%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -14.66%E -4.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 05:20
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.29%EV -12.03%E -6.17%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -16.01%E -5.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -13.84%E -4.46%K -6.59%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-01 06:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.11%EV -12.48%E -6.43%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.95%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 27.96%EV -13.00%E -4.15%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.3%2026-11-01 05:18
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.47%EV -13.38%E -6.97%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.99%EV -17.37%E -5.69%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -13.84%E -4.46%K -6.59%G +0.000%17.1%2026-11-01 05:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 46.11%EV -16.99%E -9.24%K -20.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.52%EV -13.30%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -13.84%E -4.46%K -6.59%G +0.000%17.9%2026-11-01 05:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.24%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%6.0%2026-11-01 05:55
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%16.9%2026-11-01 05:20