L’École des cotes

Virtus Entella v Venezia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 13:04 UTC

Score final : Virtus Entella 1–1 Venezia

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Virtus Entella (Local)

Prévision 19.36%5.17cote équitable
EV +2.61%
Avantage +0.493%
Kelly +0.607%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.03%19.40%19.24%20.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.254.654.605.3023.53%21.50%21.74%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Venezia (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.50%1.77cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -1.98%
Kelly -4.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.61%56.39%56.63%57.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.641.631.7165.36%60.96%61.35%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.14%4.14cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.248%
Kelly -0.328%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.76%24.22%24.13%26.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.703.654.1030.30%27.01%27.40%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%EV +2.61%E +0.493%K +0.607%G +0.016%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.08%E -3.03%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.32%EV -4.15%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 13:00
1xBet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV +1.64%E +0.313%K +0.387%G +0.006%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 12:59
FanDuel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.26%E -0.247%K -0.308%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.12%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 12:59
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.13%EV -3.20%E -0.639%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.95%EV -5.08%E -3.03%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -3.43%E -0.858%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 12:59
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -3.20%E -0.639%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.43%E -0.858%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Marathon Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.20%E -0.639%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.27%EV -7.91%E -4.85%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.06%EV -6.33%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 12:59
BetUS5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -3.20%E -0.639%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -9.47%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:00
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -3.20%E -0.639%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 12:59
Codere (IT)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -5.13%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.41%EV -4.52%E -2.67%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.64%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 13:00
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -5.13%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:00
Betsson4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -6.10%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -7.05%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 13:00
NordicBet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -6.10%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -7.05%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:00
Bet Victor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 12:59
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 13:01
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.10%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 12:59
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.10%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 12:59
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.10%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 12:59
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -1.02%E -0.248%K -0.328%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:00
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -15.50%E -4.43%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 13:00
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 18.58%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.21%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -15.50%E -4.43%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 13:00
BetOnline.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -9.01%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -7.91%E -4.85%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -11.88%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:00
LowVig.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -9.01%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -7.91%E -4.85%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -11.88%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -10.94%E -2.38%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -9.47%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -10.94%E -2.38%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.47%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 13:00
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.94%E -2.38%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -7.91%E -4.85%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 13:00
Sky Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 18.93%EV -10.94%E -2.38%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.46%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -17.92%E -5.27%K -7.47%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-11 13:00
NetBet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -10.94%E -2.38%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.90%EV -13.56%E -8.86%K -25.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-11 12:59
Unibet (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 19.64%EV -11.91%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 56.21%EV -10.17%E -6.40%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 12:59
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 12:59
theScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 12:58
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:00
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:00
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -20.33%E -6.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-11 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -3.95%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:00
Virgin Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.95%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -14.29%E -4.03%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 13:00
LiveScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.95%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -14.29%E -4.03%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 13:00
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 12:59
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 13:00
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.99%EV -10.73%E -6.79%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 13:00
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.62%EV -10.73%E -6.79%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 13:00
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -15.78%E -3.63%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.73%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -15.50%E -4.43%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 13:00
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -16.17%E -3.73%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.13%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 12:58
PMU (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 20.73%EV -17.72%E -4.17%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.73%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -16.71%E -4.84%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-04-11 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-04-11 13:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-04-11 13:00
Matchbook5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-04-11 13:01
Smarkets5.40I 18.52%NM 18.03%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.35%2.7%2026-04-11 13:00