La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Virtus Entella v Venezia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Virtus Entella (Local)
Predicción 19.36%5.17momio equitativo
EV +2.61%
Ventaja +0.493%
Kelly +0.607%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.03%19.40%19.24%20.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.254.654.605.3023.53%21.50%21.74%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Venezia (Visitante)
Predicción 56.50%1.77momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -1.98%
Kelly -4.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.61%56.39%56.63%57.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.641.631.7165.36%60.96%61.35%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.14%4.14momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.248%
Kelly -0.328%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.76%24.22%24.13%26.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.703.654.1030.30%27.01%27.40%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%EV +2.61%E +0.493%K +0.607%G +0.016% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.08%E -3.03%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.32%EV -4.15%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| 1xBet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV +1.64%E +0.313%K +0.387%G +0.006% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.56%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.26%E -0.247%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.12%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Coolbet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.13%EV -3.20%E -0.639%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.95%EV -5.08%E -3.03%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -3.43%E -0.858%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -3.20%E -0.639%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.43%E -0.858%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.20%E -0.639%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.27%EV -7.91%E -4.85%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.06%EV -6.33%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| BetUS | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -3.20%E -0.639%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -9.47%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -3.20%E -0.639%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -5.13%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.41%EV -4.52%E -2.67%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.64%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| DraftKings | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.13%EV -5.13%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betsson | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -6.10%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -7.05%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -6.10%E -1.26%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -7.05%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Bet Victor | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| William Hill | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.94%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| 888sport | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.10%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.10%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -7.07%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.10%EV -9.04%E -5.61%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| BetMGM | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -1.02%E -0.248%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -15.50%E -4.43%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.58%EV -8.04%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.21%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -15.50%E -4.43%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -9.01%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -7.91%E -4.85%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -11.88%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -9.01%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.76%EV -7.91%E -4.85%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -11.88%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Bet Right | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -10.94%E -2.38%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.60%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -9.47%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -10.94%E -2.38%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.47%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| PlayUp | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -10.94%E -2.38%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -7.91%E -4.85%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.93%EV -10.94%E -2.38%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.46%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -17.92%E -5.27%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -10.94%E -2.38%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.90%EV -13.56%E -8.86%K -25.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.64%EV -11.91%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.21%EV -10.17%E -6.40%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| theScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetRivers | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 12:58 |
| Casumo | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| betPARX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -3.39%E -1.98%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.78%E -4.11%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -8.47%E -5.23%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.12%EV -12.88%E -2.86%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.07%EV -20.33%E -6.16%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -3.95%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.95%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -14.29%E -4.03%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -3.95%E -2.33%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -14.29%E -4.03%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Neds | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Coral | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -11.30%E -7.20%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.99%EV -10.73%E -6.79%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -14.81%E -3.37%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.62%EV -10.73%E -6.79%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -15.78%E -3.63%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.73%EV -5.65%E -3.38%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -15.50%E -4.43%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -16.17%E -3.73%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.13%EV -9.60%E -6.00%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-11 12:58 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.73%EV -17.72%E -4.17%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.73%EV -7.34%E -4.48%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -16.71%E -4.84%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Matchbook | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.01% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Smarkets | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.03% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.35% | 2.7% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |