Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.55
assuming max odds 3.35
assuming max odds 3.15
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virtus Entella (Local): 38.71%; US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit): 30.50%; Draw: 30.80%. For US Catanzaro 1929 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.16%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.22%EV -4.39%E -1.78%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.92%EV +2.16%E +0.645%K +0.919%G +0.020% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.87%EV -6.37%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.20%EV -2.46%E -0.976%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -1.19%E -0.368%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.20%EV -2.46%E -0.976%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -1.19%E -0.368%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.09%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.11%EV -8.27%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.43%EV -1.50%E -0.464%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.47%EV -3.91%E -1.25%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -2.41%E -0.754%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -9.15%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -6.72%E -2.79%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -3.02%E -0.951%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -10.07%E -3.45%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.83%EV -8.27%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -11.30%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.83%EV -8.27%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -11.30%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -2.99%E -0.948%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.01%E -1.62%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.32%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.51%EV -11.61%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -5.46%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.77%E -4.92%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.04%E -3.85%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -11.30%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-21 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -8.51%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -15.31%E -5.57%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.04%E -3.40%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -9.04%E -3.85%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.56%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.56%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.56%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.56%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.56%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.56%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -4.53%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-21 13:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.56%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -11.30%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -8.27%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.56%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.61%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -8.27%E -3.49%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.56%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.61%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.09%EV -14.07%E -6.34%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.92%EV -11.56%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.99%EV -13.77%E -4.92%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.53%EV -12.48%E -4.35%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.53%EV -11.61%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-21 13:38 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.78%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -13.09%E -4.59%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -12.23%E -4.29%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-21 13:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.74%EV -16.78%E -7.81%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.22%EV -13.09%E -4.59%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.04%EV -19.93%E -7.66%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -14.61%E -5.22%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -10.69%E -3.69%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-21 13:41 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -1.30%E -0.509%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -16.14%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 13:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -1.30%E -0.509%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -16.14%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 13:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -1.30%E -0.509%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -16.14%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -1.30%E -0.509%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -16.14%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -1.30%E -0.509%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -16.14%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -1.30%E -0.509%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -16.14%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -1.30%E -0.509%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -16.14%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 13:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -1.30%E -0.509%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -16.14%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -1.30%E -0.509%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -16.14%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 13:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -1.30%E -0.509%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -16.14%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -1.30%E -0.509%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -16.14%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -16.14%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -6.07%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 13:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -16.14%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -15.31%E -5.57%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-02-21 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -17.66%E -6.54%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -17.66%E -6.54%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.61%E -2.54%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 13:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.11% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32% | 1.5% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.11% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32% | 1.5% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.11% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32% | 1.5% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.39% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50% | 2.6% | 2026-02-21 13:55 |