The School of Odds
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Virtus Entella v Mantova

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 13:01 UTC

Final: Virtus Entella 0–1 Mantova

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virtus Entella (Local)

Prediction 40.87%2.45fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.451%
Kelly -0.769%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.35%40.72%40.70%42.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.242.252.4251.02%44.55%44.44%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mantova (Visit)

Prediction 29.95%3.34fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.351%
Kelly -0.503%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.88%30.02%30.10%31.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.053.023.3034.72%32.74%33.06%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.18%3.43fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.05%29.26%29.20%31.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.143.153.3035.09%31.82%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virtus Entella (Local): 40.87%; Mantova (Visit): 29.95%; Draw: 29.18%. For Virtus Entella (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.42, with an expected value of -1.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.99%EV -1.09%E -0.451%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.05%EV -3.55%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.96%EV -5.76%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 12:55
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.19%EV -1.50%E -0.622%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%EV -1.16%E -0.351%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.46%EV -7.22%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-24 12:50
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -3.72%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 12:25
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.65%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.64%E -2.07%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 12:55
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 12:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -3.95%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.14%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -16.85%E -5.91%K -9.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-24 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.18%E -2.23%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -4.15%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.18%E -2.23%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -4.15%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 12:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -2.65%E -0.817%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -3.72%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 12:50
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.65%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.64%E -2.07%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 12:53
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.64%E -2.07%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -10.14%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 12:35
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 12:55
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.14%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.64%E -2.07%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 12:25
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -8.65%E -2.83%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -11.01%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 12:55
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 12:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.00%E -2.61%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 12:55
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.51%EV -6.40%E -2.80%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -2.65%E -0.817%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.15%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.64%E -2.07%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.65%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 12:25
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.65%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 12:25
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.65%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.65%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 12:25
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.65%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 12:25
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.65%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.65%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.65%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 12:25
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.65%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 12:24
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.64%E -2.07%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 12:25
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.14%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.64%E -2.07%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 12:25
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -11.64%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 12:35
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 12:49
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -5.18%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 12:48
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 12:25
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.14%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.47%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.14%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.47%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 12:55
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.04%E -3.57%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.14%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.39%E -5.31%K -8.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-24 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.70%EV -8.86%E -3.97%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -4.15%E -1.30%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.24%EV -7.22%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 12:25
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -9.27%E -4.17%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 12:40
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -9.27%E -4.17%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 12:40
picklebet_au🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.15%E -2.31%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.64%E -2.07%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.65%E -2.83%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.64%E -2.07%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 12:40
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.14%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.14%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.47%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 12:25
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.14%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.47%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 12:25
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.08%E -4.58%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.14%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.47%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 12:25
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.46%EV -11.31%E -5.21%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -10.14%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 12:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.38%EV -11.72%E -5.42%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.14%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.13%E -5.64%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.14%E -3.38%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 12:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -12.13%E -5.64%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -11.64%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -8.09%E -2.57%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.40%EV -12.54%E -5.86%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -11.64%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.58%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-24 12:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.71%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.39%EV -10.74%E -3.60%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.90%EV -11.60%E -3.83%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-24 12:40
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -9.55%E -3.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-24 12:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.46%EV -14.17%E -6.75%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.52%EV -11.64%E -3.95%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -12.47%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-24 12:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 41.52%EV -15.40%E -7.44%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.84%EV -13.74%E -4.77%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.65%EV -12.47%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-24 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 42.73%EV -19.89%E -10.15%K -20.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.88%EV -13.14%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.39%EV -13.93%E -4.72%K -7.14%G +0.000%19.4%2026-10-24 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-10-24 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-10-24 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-10-24 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-10-24 12:55
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-10-24 12:55

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