Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.07
assuming max odds 4.37
assuming max odds 3.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virtus Entella (Local): 46.21%; Juve Stabia (Visit): 24.66%; Draw: 29.13%. For Juve Stabia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.77%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.02%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.80%EV +7.77%E +1.78%K +2.31%G +0.179% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.18%EV -13.78%E -4.65%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 13:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.07%EV -6.20%E -3.05%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.76%EV +1.36%E +0.330%K +0.437%G +0.006% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 12:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.29%EV -7.12%E -3.54%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV +1.11%E +0.271%K +0.358%G +0.004% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.02%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 12:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -1.36%E -0.339%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -15.52%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 08:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -12.20%E -6.42%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -1.36%E -0.339%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 04:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.17%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -2.59%E -0.655%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -14.07%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-22 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.82%E -0.980%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 11:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.82%E -0.980%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.31%EV -4.81%E -2.33%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -5.05%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -5.05%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.29%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 19:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.29%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.29%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 11:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -7.52%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 13:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.28%EV -13.13%E -6.98%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.20%EV -7.52%E -2.01%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -16.98%E -5.96%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-05 08:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.75%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 11:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.75%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 13:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.75%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 11:41 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.75%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-23 12:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.75%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-23 12:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.99%E -2.74%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.01%EV -4.35%E -2.10%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-02 13:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 11:41 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -11.74%E -6.15%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-02 06:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.18%EV -12.20%E -6.42%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 24.86%EV -12.95%E -3.67%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 28.96%EV -11.74%E -3.87%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-02 13:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.69%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-25 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.69%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-25 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.69%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-25 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.69%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-25 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.08%EV -10.35%E -5.34%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -13.69%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-04 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -14.92%E -4.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -14.92%E -4.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-03 13:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -14.92%E -4.32%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.15%E -4.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.15%E -4.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 13:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -16.15%E -4.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -8.97%E -4.55%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -16.15%E -4.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -11.15%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -11.28%E -5.87%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -16.15%E -4.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-04 21:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -16.15%E -4.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-05 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 47.16%EV -18.21%E -10.29%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.55%EV -16.15%E -4.75%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.29%EV -14.07%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-09-30 22:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 45.31% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 29.13% | 16.8% | 2026-09-30 13:05 |