L’École des cotes

Virtus Entella v Avellino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Virtus Entella (Local)

Prévision 35.46%2.82cote équitable
EV +1.07%
Avantage +0.374%
Kelly +0.576%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.57%35.53%35.52%39.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.602.8543.48%39.46%38.46%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Avellino (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.40%3.18cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -0.855%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.37%31.47%31.29%33.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.952.953.1037.04%33.95%33.90%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.13%3.02cote équitable
EV -0.596%
Avantage -0.199%
Kelly -0.298%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.42%33.00%33.20%35.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.792.843.0043.48%35.82%35.21%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 33.96%EV +1.07%E +0.374%K +0.576%G +0.006%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.20%EV -6.23%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 13:55
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.48%E -0.902%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 13:54
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -2.48%E -0.902%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 13:55
Marathon Bet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.41%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -8.62%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -7.89%E -2.84%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 13:55
Bovada2.71I 36.90%NM 34.04%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.92%EV -9.87%E -3.63%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 13:53
BetUS2.71I 36.90%NM 34.04%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.92%EV -9.87%E -3.63%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 13:55
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.69%EV -5.90%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 13:30
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.69%EV -5.90%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 13:30
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -12.19%E -4.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:55
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 13:50
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -15.51%E -6.08%K -10.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 13:49
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.12%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.88%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 13:55
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 13:50
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -12.19%E -4.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 13:50
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.16%EV -6.42%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.40%EV -7.89%E -2.84%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 13:55
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.16%EV -6.42%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.40%EV -7.89%E -2.84%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 13:55
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -17.16%E -6.87%K -11.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 13:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 33.57%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.54%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -18.82%E -7.68%K -12.98%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 13:50
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 13:40
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 13:55
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 13:55
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 13:50
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 13:55
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -10.54%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -10.54%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 13:50
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -10.54%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 13:50
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.74%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.46%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.80%EV -18.82%E -7.68%K -12.98%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 13:49
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 13:45
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 13:55
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 13:55
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -15.21%E -5.63%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -0.596%E -0.199%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 13:55
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -10.54%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 13:55
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 13:55
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.69%EV -13.12%E -5.35%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.68%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.63%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-15 13:55
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -13.83%E -5.69%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.50%EV -7.99%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.73%EV -9.54%E -3.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 13:39
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.97%EV -14.89%E -6.20%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.20%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-15 13:55
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.91%EV -14.89%E -6.20%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.56%EV -11.44%E -4.06%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.53%EV -14.84%E -5.78%K -9.45%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-15 13:55
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.10%EV -14.89%E -6.20%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.31%EV -15.21%E -5.63%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.58%EV -23.79%E -10.34%K -18.30%G +0.000%22.2%2026-03-15 13:50
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -17.37%E -7.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 13:30
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -17.73%E -7.64%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 13:45
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -17.73%E -7.64%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 13:45
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -18.44%E -8.02%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 13:45
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -18.44%E -8.02%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-15 13:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.41%0.2%2026-03-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.41%0.2%2026-03-15 13:55
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.41%0.2%2026-03-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.11%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.33%0.5%2026-03-15 13:55
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23%1.4%2026-03-15 13:55