La escuela de los momios

Virtus Entella v Avellino

Inicio: 2026-03-15 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Virtus Entella (Local)

Predicción 35.46%2.82momio equitativo
EV +1.07%
Ventaja +0.374%
Kelly +0.576%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.57%35.53%35.52%39.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.532.602.8543.48%39.46%38.46%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Avellino (Visitante)

Predicción 31.40%3.18momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -0.855%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.37%31.47%31.29%33.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.952.953.1037.04%33.95%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 33.13%3.02momio equitativo
EV -0.596%
Ventaja -0.199%
Kelly -0.298%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.42%33.00%33.20%35.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.792.843.0043.48%35.82%35.21%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 33.96%EV +1.07%E +0.374%K +0.576%G +0.006%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -4.53%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.20%EV -6.23%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 13:55
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.48%E -0.902%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 13:54
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -2.48%E -0.902%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 13:55
Marathon Bet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.41%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.05%EV -8.62%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -7.89%E -2.84%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 13:55
Bovada2.71I 36.90%NM 34.04%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.92%EV -9.87%E -3.63%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 13:53
BetUS2.71I 36.90%NM 34.04%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.92%EV -9.87%E -3.63%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 13:55
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.69%EV -5.90%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 13:30
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.69%EV -5.90%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 13:30
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -12.19%E -4.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:55
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 13:50
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -4.25%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -15.51%E -6.08%K -10.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 13:49
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.12%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.88%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.79%E -1.93%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 13:55
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 13:50
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -12.19%E -4.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 13:50
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.16%EV -6.42%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.40%EV -7.89%E -2.84%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 13:55
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.16%EV -6.42%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.40%EV -7.89%E -2.84%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 13:55
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -17.16%E -6.87%K -11.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 13:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 33.57%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.54%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -18.82%E -7.68%K -12.98%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 13:50
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 13:40
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 13:55
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 13:55
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 13:50
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 13:55
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -10.54%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -10.54%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 13:50
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -13.64%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -10.54%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 13:50
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.74%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.46%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.80%EV -18.82%E -7.68%K -12.98%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-15 13:49
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 13:45
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -5.57%E -1.95%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 13:55
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.22%E -2.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 13:55
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -15.21%E -5.63%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -0.596%E -0.199%K -0.298%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 13:55
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -7.36%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -10.54%E -3.90%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 13:55
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.93%E -3.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 13:55
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.69%EV -13.12%E -5.35%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.68%EV -10.50%E -3.68%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.63%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-15 13:55
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -13.83%E -5.69%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.50%EV -7.99%E -2.73%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.73%EV -9.54%E -3.50%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 13:39
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.97%EV -14.89%E -6.20%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -12.07%E -4.31%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.20%EV -13.85%E -5.33%K -8.66%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-15 13:55
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.91%EV -14.89%E -6.20%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.56%EV -11.44%E -4.06%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.53%EV -14.84%E -5.78%K -9.45%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-15 13:55
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.10%EV -14.89%E -6.20%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.31%EV -15.21%E -5.63%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.58%EV -23.79%E -10.34%K -18.30%G +0.000%22.2%2026-03-15 13:50
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -16.66%E -7.09%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -17.37%E -7.46%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -2.25%E -0.764%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 13:30
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -17.73%E -7.64%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 13:45
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.24%EV -17.73%E -7.64%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -2.65%E -0.855%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.39%EV -3.91%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 13:45
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -18.44%E -8.02%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -4.22%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 13:45
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -18.44%E -8.02%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -9.56%E -3.32%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -8.88%E -3.23%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-15 13:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.41%0.2%2026-03-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.41%0.2%2026-03-15 13:55
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.41%0.2%2026-03-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.56%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.11%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.33%0.5%2026-03-15 13:55
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.23%1.4%2026-03-15 13:55