The School of Odds
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Virtus Entella v Avellino

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 19:01 UTC

Final: Virtus Entella 1–1 Avellino

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virtus Entella (Local)

Prediction 44.76%2.23fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.39%44.89%44.72%47.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.862.042.052.1653.76%49.08%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Avellino (Visit)

Prediction 25.83%3.87fair odd
EV +5.39%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +1.75%
Growth +0.094%

assuming max odds 4.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.53%25.60%25.96%27.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.573.504.0830.77%28.04%28.57%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.41%3.40fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -0.894%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.46%29.51%29.32%31.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.113.103.3034.72%32.16%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virtus Entella (Local): 44.76%; Avellino (Visit): 25.83%; Draw: 29.41%. For Avellino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.36%EV -4.66%E -2.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.68%EV +5.39%E +1.32%K +1.75%G +0.094%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.96%EV -8.24%E -2.64%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-27 18:37
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -14.96%E -7.87%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV +3.32%E +0.831%K +1.11%G +0.037%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-27 18:37
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV +0.741%E +0.190%K +0.255%G +0.002%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 18:44
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.19%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -1.84%E -0.485%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.84%EV -6.48%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 18:50
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -1.84%E -0.485%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-27 18:37
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.00%EV -9.14%E -4.50%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -1.84%E -0.485%K -0.658%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -13.24%E -4.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 18:45
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.03%EV -10.48%E -5.24%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -1.84%E -0.485%K -0.658%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.27%EV -15.30%E -5.31%K -8.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-27 18:45
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.13%E -0.836%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.36%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.13%E -0.836%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -10.30%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 18:37
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.24%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.13%E -0.836%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -10.30%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 18:37
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.48%E -5.24%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -4.43%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-27 18:25
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:18
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:18
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:18
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:17
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:18
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:17
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:18
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:18
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 18:18
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-27 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.58%EV -8.69%E -4.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.54%EV -5.98%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.88%EV -5.30%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 07:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.16%EV -3.32%E -1.54%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.42%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-27 18:18
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -2.95%E -0.894%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 18:49
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 17:00
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -12.72%E -6.52%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-27 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-27 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-27 18:50
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-27 18:10
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.30%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-27 18:10
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.30%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-27 18:18
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.36%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-27 18:50
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 18:50
picklebet_au🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 18:10
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.48%E -5.24%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-27 18:29
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.48%E -5.24%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-27 18:29
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.48%E -5.24%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.89%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-27 18:25
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -9.58%E -4.74%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-27 18:37
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-27 18:25
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-27 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-27 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-27 18:25
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -11.82%E -6.00%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.36%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-27 18:18
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -12.72%E -6.52%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-27 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -11.82%E -6.00%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-27 18:18
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.57%EV -12.72%E -6.52%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-27 18:18
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.57%EV -12.72%E -6.52%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-27 18:18
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 44.95%EV -13.61%E -7.05%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.14%EV -10.88%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.91%EV -14.71%E -5.07%K -7.74%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-27 18:37
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -13.47%E -4.02%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -7.36%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-27 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.23%EV -11.38%E -5.74%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.38%EV -14.24%E -4.29%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.39%EV -12.36%E -4.15%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-27 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-27 18:10
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-27 18:10
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-27 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.48%E -5.24%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.83%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-27 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.53%EV -15.85%E -8.43%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.53%EV -11.77%E -3.92%K -5.89%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-27 18:17
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 45.17%EV -16.75%E -9.00%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.85%EV -16.05%E -4.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.97%EV -14.71%E -5.07%K -7.74%G +0.000%19.0%2026-10-27 18:36
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.09%0.5%2026-10-27 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-10-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-10-27 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.96%0.9%2026-10-27 18:50
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%1.4%2026-10-27 18:55

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