Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vicenza v Pisa

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 15:15 UTC

Final: Vicenza 0–3 Pisa

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vicenza (Local)

Prediction 34.00%2.94fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.362%
Kelly -0.552%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.91%33.84%34.05%35.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.742.752.9140.00%36.45%36.36%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pisa (Visit)

Prediction 36.87%2.71fair odd
EV +0.287%
Edge +0.106%
Kelly +0.167%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.67%36.90%36.96%40.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.442.452.7245.87%40.97%40.82%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.13%3.43fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.723%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.68%29.26%29.00%31.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.183.203.3534.48%31.44%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vicenza (Local): 34.00%; Pisa (Visit): 36.87%; Draw: 29.13%. For Pisa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.287%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -6.83%E -2.49%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.67%EV +0.287%E +0.106%K +0.167%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -11.16%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -6.83%E -2.49%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.67%EV +0.287%E +0.106%K +0.167%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -11.16%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:50
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.30%EV -1.05%E -0.362%K -0.552%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.03%EV -0.819%E -0.304%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.67%EV -7.96%E -2.52%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-10 15:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 14:46
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -3.09%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 15:00
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:35
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -4.14%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 15:10
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.22%EV -5.47%E -1.97%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.87%EV -4.87%E -1.89%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.91%EV -4.17%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 15:05
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:39
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -5.98%E -2.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:35
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.89%E -3.73%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -8.25%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-10 14:40
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.89%E -3.73%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -7.09%E -2.81%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -8.25%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-10 14:39
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 15:00
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 15:00
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.25%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -3.09%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -14.07%E -4.77%K -7.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 14:35
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.91%E -4.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 15:00
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 14:55
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 15:05
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 15:04
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.82%E -3.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 14:40
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.89%E -3.73%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.25%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -9.89%E -3.73%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -9.67%E -3.95%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 15:00
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.51%E -4.80%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 14:35
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.51%E -4.80%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 14:35
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.51%E -4.80%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.51%E -4.80%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -11.51%E -4.80%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-10 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -13.29%E -5.21%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.99%EV -11.51%E -4.80%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -8.25%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-10 14:40
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -11.51%E -4.80%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-10 15:05
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -2.07%E -0.720%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -13.35%E -5.68%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -2.42%E -0.723%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:30
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -2.07%E -0.720%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -13.35%E -5.68%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -2.42%E -0.723%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -2.07%E -0.720%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -13.35%E -5.68%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -2.42%E -0.723%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -2.07%E -0.720%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -13.35%E -5.68%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -2.42%E -0.723%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:30
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -2.07%E -0.720%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -13.35%E -5.68%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -2.42%E -0.723%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:30
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -2.07%E -0.720%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -13.35%E -5.68%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -2.42%E -0.723%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -2.07%E -0.720%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -13.35%E -5.68%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -2.42%E -0.723%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:30
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -2.07%E -0.720%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -13.35%E -5.68%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -2.42%E -0.723%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -2.07%E -0.720%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -13.35%E -5.68%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -2.42%E -0.723%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 33.97%EV -12.27%E -4.76%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.29%EV -13.35%E -5.68%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -11.16%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-10 14:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.47%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.03%EV -13.35%E -5.68%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.50%EV -14.07%E -4.77%K -7.22%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-10 14:51
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.57%E -4.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -15.20%E -6.61%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-10 14:35
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.91%E -4.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -15.20%E -6.61%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-10 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -10.91%E -4.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -15.20%E -6.61%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-10 14:35
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.35%EV -15.94%E -6.99%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -17.04%E -7.57%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-10 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -1.39%E -0.481%K -0.734%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.88%EV -18.89%E -8.58%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -15.00%E -6.00%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -18.89%E -8.58%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%18.8%2026-10-10 14:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.91%EV -2.07%E -0.720%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.83%EV -19.62%E -9.00%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%EV -8.25%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-10-10 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-10-10 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-10-10 15:10
Smarkets◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-10-10 15:10
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-10-10 15:10