The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Vicenza v Modena

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 19:01 UTC

Final: Vicenza 1–2 Modena

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vicenza (Local)

Prediction 27.09%3.69fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.278%
Kelly +0.380%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.46%27.04%27.08%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.353.303.7333.33%29.88%30.30%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Modena (Visit)

Prediction 45.87%2.18fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.35%45.95%45.89%48.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.792.012.002.1055.87%49.73%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.05%3.70fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.733%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.40%27.01%27.03%28.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.393.403.6031.75%29.52%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vicenza (Local): 27.09%; Modena (Visit): 45.87%; Draw: 27.05%. For Vicenza (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.45%EV +1.04%E +0.278%K +0.380%G +0.004%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.86%EV -5.05%E -2.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.68%EV -10.48%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 18:50
Pinnacle🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 26.00%EV +0.766%E +0.206%K +0.282%G +0.002%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.28%EV -4.14%E -1.98%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.72%EV -5.61%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-27 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV +0.224%E +0.061%K +0.083%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -15.15%E -8.19%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 18:37
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.48%E -0.690%K -0.955%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.27%E -4.13%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-27 18:55
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -2.48%E -0.690%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -10.10%E -5.15%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.46%E -4.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 18:37
Codere (IT)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -3.84%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -4.60%E -2.21%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-27 05:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.84%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -6.43%E -3.15%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.84%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -6.43%E -3.15%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 18:40
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.64%E -0.733%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-27 18:40
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-27 05:34
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.27%E -4.13%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-27 18:55
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.05%EV -8.72%E -4.38%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-27 18:55
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.56%E -5.41%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-27 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.56%E -5.41%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-27 18:50
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -5.19%E -1.48%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -12.39%E -6.49%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -13.46%E -4.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-27 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.74%EV -5.73%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.27%E -4.13%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.74%EV -5.88%E -1.69%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 05:10
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 18:37
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.27%E -4.13%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-27 18:45
picklebet_au🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.27%E -4.13%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-27 18:37
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.35%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-27 05:35
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.90%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.35%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-27 05:35
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.64%EV -9.18%E -4.64%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-27 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-27 10:10
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.27%E -4.13%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-27 10:10
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.56%E -5.41%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -2.64%E -0.733%K -1.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-27 05:16
betano_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.27%E -4.13%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-27 18:55
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.27%E -4.13%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-27 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -9.18%E -4.64%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-27 05:34
Betclic (FR)🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -11.42%E -3.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.93%EV -12.39%E -6.49%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.24%EV -12.92%E -4.01%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-27 18:35
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 18:10
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 18:10
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 18:10
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 18:10
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 18:10
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-27 18:55
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-27 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-27 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-27 18:55
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.27%E -4.13%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -5.34%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-27 05:16
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.27%E -4.13%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-27 05:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.70%EV -10.10%E -5.15%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-27 05:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.56%E -5.41%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-27 18:45
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.56%E -5.41%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-27 18:45
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.56%E -5.41%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-27 18:45
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.97%EV -12.39%E -6.49%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-27 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -12.39%E -6.49%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -13.46%E -4.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-27 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.29%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 47.00%EV -17.90%E -10.00%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.71%EV -14.81%E -4.70%K -6.89%G +0.000%18.9%2026-10-27 18:36
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -14.67%E -4.66%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -7.35%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-25 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -16.03%E -5.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -7.35%E -3.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -9.40%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-27 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -16.03%E -5.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.27%E -4.13%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-27 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -16.03%E -5.17%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -8.27%E -4.13%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-25 19:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%EV -18.74%E -6.25%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.51%EV -11.48%E -5.95%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -13.46%E -4.20%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-27 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-10-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-10-27 18:55
Matchbook◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-10-27 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.62%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-10-27 18:55
Smarkets◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.51%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%1.8%2026-10-27 18:55

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