Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Venezia v Palermo

Начало: 2026-05-08 18:30 UTC

Итог: Venezia 2–0 Palermo

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Venezia (Хозяева)

Прогноз 62.98%1.59справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.38%
Преимущество -1.53%
Kelly -4.33%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.55

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
59.24%62.89%63.08%65.59%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.351.481.481.5574.07%67.58%67.57%64.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Palermo (Гости)

Прогноз 16.04%6.24справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.12%
Преимущество +1.07%
Kelly +1.25%
Рост +0.089%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.68

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.33%16.03%15.91%17.91%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.005.595.506.6820.00%17.90%18.18%14.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 20.98%4.77справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.14%
Преимущество +0.236%
Kelly +0.298%
Рост +0.003%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.82

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.39%21.08%21.01%23.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.244.254.8227.78%23.57%23.53%20.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Venezia (Хозяева): 62.98%; Palermo (Гости): 16.04%; Ничья: 20.98%. Для исхода «Palermo (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.24. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.68, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +7.12%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.12%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.68I 14.97%NM 14.33%EV +7.12%E +1.07%K +1.25%G +0.089%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.54%EV -2.22%E -0.476%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +4.23%E +0.651%K +0.769%G +0.033%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -0.330%E -0.070%K -0.088%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 18:24
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -9.94%E -6.95%K -23.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.223%E +0.036%K +0.043%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.67%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.33%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -1.38%E -0.224%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -4.53%E -0.995%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:20
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.55%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.79%E -0.631%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -7.67%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.79%E -0.631%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.79%E -0.631%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 18:14
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.79%E -0.631%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.67%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -3.79%E -0.631%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -7.67%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -3.79%E -0.631%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -7.67%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:14
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.79%E -0.631%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.87%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:19
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.79%E -0.631%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.87%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.95%EV -4.90%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.39%EV -6.99%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -3.48%E -0.756%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.99%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -7.67%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 18:14
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.26%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -6.99%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.14%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.79%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:14
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.81%EV -4.90%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.79%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -10.82%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:15
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -7.79%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -9.14%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 18:24
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.76%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.79%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -10.82%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:25
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -7.79%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.14%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -7.79%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.14%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -7.79%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.14%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.31%EV -14.98%E -11.09%K -42.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.50%EV -10.20%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.19%EV -9.77%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-08 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -9.14%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -2.38%E -1.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -13.97%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -2.38%E -1.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -13.97%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:34
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.43%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -6.63%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.43%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -6.63%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -10.82%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.87%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:14
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.87%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -13.97%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-08 18:20
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -11.83%E -8.45%K -29.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -11.87%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-08 18:14
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.35%EV -4.90%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.45%EV -9.94%E -6.95%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.54%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -10.82%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-08 18:15
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.46%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.85%EV -14.69%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.70%EV +1.14%E +0.236%K +0.298%G +0.003%5.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.50%EV -8.05%E -5.51%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -15.01%E -2.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -15.01%E -2.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -15.01%E -2.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 17:34
BetUS🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.07%EV -8.05%E -5.51%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -15.81%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -0.330%E -0.070%K -0.088%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:24
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.04%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -15.81%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -17.12%E -4.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 17:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.08%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.98%EV -16.61%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.94%EV -19.21%E -4.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.71%EV -11.20%E -7.94%K -27.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.06%EV -18.22%E -3.57%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.22%EV -13.97%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-08 18:14
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.82%E -3.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.82%E -3.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 18:04
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.82%E -3.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.78%EV -9.94%E -6.95%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -19.82%E -3.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -9.77%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -19.82%E -3.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -24.46%E -6.79%K -9.41%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-08 18:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-08 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-08 18:25
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-08 18:24
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-05-08 18:24