L’École des cotes

Venezia v Palermo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 18:30 UTC

Score final : Venezia 2–0 Palermo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Venezia (Local)

Prévision 62.98%1.59cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -4.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.24%62.89%63.08%65.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.481.481.5574.07%67.58%67.57%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Palermo (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.04%6.24cote équitable
EV +7.12%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.089%

avec la cote maximale 6.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.33%16.03%15.91%17.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.595.506.6820.00%17.90%18.18%14.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.98%4.77cote équitable
EV +1.14%
Avantage +0.236%
Kelly +0.298%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.39%21.08%21.01%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.244.254.8227.78%23.57%23.53%20.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.12%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.68I 14.97%NM 14.33%EV +7.12%E +1.07%K +1.25%G +0.089%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.54%EV -2.22%E -0.476%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 18:20
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +4.23%E +0.651%K +0.769%G +0.033%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -0.330%E -0.070%K -0.088%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 18:24
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 64.36%EV -9.94%E -6.95%K -23.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV +0.223%E +0.036%K +0.043%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.67%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:24
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.33%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -1.38%E -0.224%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -4.53%E -0.995%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:20
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.55%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.79%E -0.631%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -7.67%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.79%E -0.631%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 18:20
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.79%E -0.631%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 18:14
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.79%E -0.631%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.67%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:19
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -3.79%E -0.631%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -7.67%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:15
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -3.79%E -0.631%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -7.67%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:14
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.79%E -0.631%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.87%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:19
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.79%E -0.631%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.87%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:20
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.95%EV -4.90%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.39%EV -6.99%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV -3.48%E -0.756%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.99%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -7.67%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 18:14
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.26%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -6.99%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.14%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:24
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.79%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 18:14
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.81%EV -4.90%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.79%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -10.82%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:15
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -7.79%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -9.14%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 18:24
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.76%EV -8.68%E -5.98%K -19.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.79%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -10.82%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:25
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -7.79%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.14%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:25
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -7.79%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.14%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:24
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -7.79%E -1.36%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.14%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 18:24
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 64.31%EV -14.98%E -11.09%K -42.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.50%EV -10.20%E -1.82%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.19%EV -9.77%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-08 18:20
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -9.14%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 18:05
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -2.38%E -1.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -13.97%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:34
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -2.38%E -1.53%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -13.97%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 17:34
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.43%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -6.63%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 62.43%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -6.63%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -10.82%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:20
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.87%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:14
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.87%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 18:20
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -6.79%E -4.59%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -13.97%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:20
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-08 18:20
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -11.83%E -8.45%K -29.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -11.80%E -2.15%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -11.87%E -2.83%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-08 18:14
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -3.01%E -1.95%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -3.64%E -2.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.35%EV -4.90%E -3.24%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.45%EV -9.94%E -6.95%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.54%EV -13.41%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -10.82%E -2.55%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-08 18:15
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.46%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.85%EV -14.69%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.70%EV +1.14%E +0.236%K +0.298%G +0.003%5.3%2026-05-08 18:24
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.50%EV -8.05%E -5.51%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -15.01%E -2.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -5.58%E -1.24%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 18:14
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -15.01%E -2.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.00%EV -4.27%E -2.81%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -15.01%E -2.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 17:34
BetUS1.46I 68.49%NM 63.07%EV -8.05%E -5.51%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -15.81%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -0.330%E -0.070%K -0.088%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:24
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.04%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -15.81%E -3.01%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -17.12%E -4.33%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 17:34
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.08%EV -7.42%E -5.05%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.98%EV -16.61%E -3.20%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.94%EV -19.21%E -4.99%K -6.74%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.71%EV -11.20%E -7.94%K -27.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.06%EV -18.22%E -3.57%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.22%EV -13.97%E -3.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-08 18:14
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.82%E -3.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.82%E -3.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 18:04
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -5.53%E -3.69%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.82%E -3.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -16.07%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 18:04
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.78%EV -9.94%E -6.95%K -23.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -19.82%E -3.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -9.77%E -2.27%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -9.31%E -6.46%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -19.82%E -3.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -24.46%E -6.79%K -9.41%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-08 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-08 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-08 18:25
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.76%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-08 18:24
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-05-08 18:24