La escuela de los momios

US Catanzaro 1929 v Monza

Inicio: 2026-04-06 13:04 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

US Catanzaro 1929 (Local)

Predicción 28.97%3.45momio equitativo
EV -0.650%
Ventaja -0.189%
Kelly -0.267%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.16%29.01%29.06%31.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.113.103.4335.71%32.14%32.26%29.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Monza (Visitante)

Predicción 42.89%2.33momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -0.969%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.34%42.90%42.77%43.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.172.162.2850.00%46.09%46.30%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.14%3.55momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.427%
Kelly -0.598%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.14%28.09%28.17%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.253.253.5034.72%30.76%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.43I 29.15%NM 27.70%EV -0.650%E -0.189%K -0.267%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.93%E -3.19%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV -6.28%E -1.89%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 12:59
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.75%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 13:00
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15%EV -3.93%E -1.75%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -1.52%E -0.447%K -0.633%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 12:59
Pinnacle3.37I 29.67%NM 28.70%EV -2.39%E -0.708%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.18%EV -3.93%E -1.75%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -3.18%E -0.925%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 12:59
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.41%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 12:59
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 13:00
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.08%EV -8.64%E -4.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:53
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.86%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.08%EV -8.64%E -4.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:59
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.49%E -0.427%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 12:58
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.72%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:00
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:00
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:59
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:59
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:00
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:59
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 12:59
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:00
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -7.31%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.07%E -5.89%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 13:00
theScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:00
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -6.50%E -2.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 12:59
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -6.50%E -2.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 12:59
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.76%E -2.78%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -9.07%E -4.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.34%E -3.60%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 12:59
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.31%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 12:59
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -12.07%E -5.89%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.07%E -5.89%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-06 12:58
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -12.07%E -5.89%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Betclic (FR)3.07I 32.57%NM 29.11%EV -11.08%E -3.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.96%EV -10.79%E -5.19%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 13:00
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -11.66%E -3.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -5.72%E -1.71%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 12:59
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.12%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 12:59
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 12:59
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 13:00
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.07%E -5.89%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-06 13:00
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.07%E -5.89%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-06 12:59
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -14.22%E -7.11%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -13.10%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.22%E -7.11%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.94%E -6.58%K -10.08%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -2.21%E -0.969%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:00
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -2.21%E -0.969%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 12:58
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -2.21%E -0.969%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:00
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -2.21%E -0.969%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -2.21%E -0.969%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -2.21%E -0.969%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -2.21%E -0.969%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:00
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -2.21%E -0.969%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:00
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -2.21%E -0.969%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:00
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -2.21%E -0.969%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -14.55%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.53%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -16.00%E -5.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -16.00%E -5.52%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 13:00
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -16.58%E -5.76%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.94%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 13:00
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -18.90%E -6.75%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.40%EV -6.93%E -3.19%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -12.75%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.28%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-04-06 13:00
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 27.80%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.80%4.3%2026-04-06 13:00