La scuola delle quote

US Catanzaro 1929 v Empoli

Inizio: 2026-03-08 14:04 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

US Catanzaro 1929 (Casa)

Previsione 43.80%2.28quota equa
EV -3.20%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -2.64%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.61%43.65%43.73%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.112.102.2154.05%47.43%47.62%45.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empoli (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.78%3.60quota equa
EV +1.39%
Vantaggio +0.381%
Kelly +0.525%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.22%27.88%27.77%30.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.263.253.6535.09%30.68%30.77%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.42%3.52quota equa
EV -3.37%
Vantaggio -0.992%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.32%28.48%28.49%31.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.653.183.253.4037.74%31.40%30.77%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.15%EV +1.39%E +0.381%K +0.525%G +0.007%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.40%EV -4.51%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.15%EV +1.39%E +0.381%K +0.525%G +0.007%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.40%EV -4.51%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 13:59
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.79%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV +1.11%E +0.306%K +0.422%G +0.005%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.63%EV -3.94%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 13:59
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -14.74%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 14:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 14:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -18.44%E -6.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 14:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -18.15%E -6.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 14:00
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.38%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -3.89%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 14:00
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.92%EV -4.95%E -2.28%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -4.16%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 14:00
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 44.07%EV -8.45%E -4.04%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -4.16%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 13:58
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 13:59
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 13:59
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 13:59
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 13:59
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 13:59
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -20.42%E -7.29%K -11.35%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-08 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 14:00
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.37%E -0.992%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 13:58
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.00%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.20%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 13:59
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.14%E -3.37%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 14:00
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.14%E -3.37%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 14:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 14:00
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 13:59
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -7.14%E -3.37%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -14.74%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-08 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 14:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 13:59
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 13:59
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 13:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 13:59
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-08 14:00
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 43.93%EV -18.97%E -10.25%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.40%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 30.67%EV -24.69%E -9.32%K -14.96%G +0.000%23.0%2026-03-08 14:00
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 14:00
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 14:00
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 13:59
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 14:00
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 14:00
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 13:57
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 14:00
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 14:00
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 14:00
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 14:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.46%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -13.32%E -4.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-08 13:59
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.29%EV -14.59%E -7.48%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-08 14:00
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.37%EV -11.08%E -5.46%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.68%EV -14.72%E -4.79%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 14:00
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -15.28%E -5.01%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -3.37%E -0.992%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -4.95%E -2.28%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -15.28%E -5.01%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 14:00
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -4.95%E -2.28%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -15.28%E -5.01%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 14:00
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -6.26%E -2.93%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -15.28%E -5.01%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.67%E -5.56%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.74%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-08 14:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -18.05%E -6.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -20.83%E -7.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-08 14:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%0.8%2026-03-08 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-03-08 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-03-08 14:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%1.9%2026-03-08 14:00
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.73%2.4%2026-03-08 14:00