La escuela de los momios

US Catanzaro 1929 v Empoli

Inicio: 2026-03-08 14:04 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

US Catanzaro 1929 (Local)

Predicción 43.80%2.28momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -2.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.61%43.65%43.73%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.112.102.2154.05%47.43%47.62%45.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empoli (Visitante)

Predicción 27.78%3.60momio equitativo
EV +1.39%
Ventaja +0.381%
Kelly +0.525%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.22%27.88%27.77%30.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.263.253.6535.09%30.68%30.77%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.42%3.52momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -0.992%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.32%28.48%28.49%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.653.183.253.4037.74%31.40%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.15%EV +1.39%E +0.381%K +0.525%G +0.007%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.40%EV -4.51%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.15%EV +1.39%E +0.381%K +0.525%G +0.007%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.40%EV -4.51%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 13:59
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.79%EV -5.39%E -2.49%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.58%EV +1.11%E +0.306%K +0.422%G +0.005%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.63%EV -3.94%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 13:59
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -14.74%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 14:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 14:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -18.44%E -6.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 14:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -2.78%E -0.793%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -18.15%E -6.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 14:00
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.38%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -3.89%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 14:00
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.92%EV -4.95%E -2.28%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -4.16%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 14:00
Bovada2.09I 47.85%NM 44.07%EV -8.45%E -4.04%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -4.16%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 13:58
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 13:59
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 13:59
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 13:59
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 13:59
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 13:59
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -20.42%E -7.29%K -11.35%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-08 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 14:00
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.37%E -0.992%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 13:58
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.00%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.20%EV -4.23%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 13:59
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.14%E -3.37%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 14:00
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.14%E -3.37%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 14:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 14:00
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 13:59
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -7.14%E -3.37%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -14.74%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-08 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 14:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 13:59
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.21%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 13:59
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 13:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 13:59
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-08 14:00
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 43.93%EV -18.97%E -10.25%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.40%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 30.67%EV -24.69%E -9.32%K -14.96%G +0.000%23.0%2026-03-08 14:00
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 14:00
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 14:00
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 13:59
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 14:00
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 14:00
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 13:57
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 14:00
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 14:00
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 14:00
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 14:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.46%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -13.32%E -4.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-08 13:59
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.29%EV -14.59%E -7.48%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -11.90%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-08 14:00
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.37%EV -11.08%E -5.46%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.68%EV -14.72%E -4.79%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 14:00
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -15.28%E -5.01%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -3.37%E -0.992%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -4.95%E -2.28%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -15.28%E -5.01%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 14:00
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -4.95%E -2.28%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -15.28%E -5.01%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.06%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 14:00
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -6.26%E -2.93%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -15.28%E -5.01%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.67%E -5.56%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.74%E -4.91%K -7.37%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-08 14:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -18.05%E -6.12%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 14:00
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.61%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -20.83%E -7.31%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -10.48%E -3.33%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-08 14:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%0.8%2026-03-08 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-03-08 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-03-08 14:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%1.9%2026-03-08 14:00
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.73%2.4%2026-03-08 14:00