L’École des cotes

US Catanzaro 1929 v Avellino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 19:00 UTC

Score final : US Catanzaro 1929 3–0 Avellino

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

US Catanzaro 1929 (Local)

Prévision 48.94%2.04cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -2.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.23%48.87%48.89%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.901.912.0056.50%52.50%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Avellino (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.41%4.46cote équitable
EV +1.32%
Avantage +0.291%
Kelly +0.374%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.78%22.49%22.37%25.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.974.004.5228.57%25.20%25.00%22.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.65%3.49cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -0.765%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.71%28.64%28.74%29.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.193.203.4033.33%31.31%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.97%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.33%EV +1.32%E +0.291%K +0.374%G +0.005%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.70%EV -3.75%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 18:45
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV +0.867%E +0.193%K +0.248%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 18:50
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.63%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV -1.37%E -0.312%K -0.404%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.49%EV -3.17%E -0.939%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 18:50
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -9.46%E -5.12%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -2.94%E -0.680%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 18:50
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -10.44%E -5.71%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -2.94%E -0.680%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:50
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.72%EV -6.04%E -3.14%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -3.62%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -2.60%E -0.765%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.83%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -4.74%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 18:40
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 16:35
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.83%EV -6.04%E -3.14%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 18:35
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.83%EV -6.04%E -3.14%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 18:35
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -7.02%E -3.69%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 18:50
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 18:40
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.00%E -4.25%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:50
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.44%E -5.71%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -14.06%E -4.69%K -7.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-12 18:50
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -7.02%E -3.69%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -6.98%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 16:35
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -7.02%E -3.69%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -6.98%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 16:36
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.64%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:40
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 17:55
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.02%E -3.69%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:40
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 18:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 18:50
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 18:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 18:50
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 18:50
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.46%E -5.12%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-12 18:40
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -10.44%E -5.71%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -10.44%E -5.71%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.43%EV -10.79%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-12 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.00%E -4.25%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -11.46%E -2.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -12.89%E -7.24%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -11.46%E -2.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-12 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.46%E -5.12%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-12 18:35
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.46%E -5.12%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-12 18:35
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.46%E -5.12%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-12 18:35
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -13.38%E -7.56%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -12.63%E -4.14%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-12 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -10.93%E -6.01%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -15.94%E -4.25%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-12 16:36
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.12%E -1.06%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -17.07%E -4.61%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 18:30
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.12%E -1.06%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -17.07%E -4.61%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 18:30
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -2.12%E -1.06%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 18:30
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -3.10%E -1.57%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 18:30
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -3.59%E -1.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -3.59%E -1.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -3.59%E -1.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 18:30
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -3.59%E -1.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -3.59%E -1.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 18:30
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -3.59%E -1.82%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -4.08%E -2.08%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -4.08%E -2.08%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -19.31%E -5.36%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -4.08%E -2.08%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -19.31%E -5.36%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:30
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 46.37%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -20.43%E -5.75%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 18:30
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.52%EV -7.51%E -3.97%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -21.55%E -6.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.79%0.2%2026-05-12 18:55
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.41%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.79%0.2%2026-05-12 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34%0.2%2026-05-12 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34%0.2%2026-05-12 18:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-05-12 18:55