La escuela de los momiosEspañol
US Catanzaro 1929 v Avellino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
US Catanzaro 1929 (Local)
Predicción 48.94%2.04momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -2.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.23%48.87%48.89%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.901.912.0056.50%52.50%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Avellino (Visitante)
Predicción 22.41%4.46momio equitativo
EV +1.32%
Ventaja +0.291%
Kelly +0.374%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.78%22.49%22.37%25.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.974.004.5228.57%25.20%25.00%22.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.65%3.49momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -0.765%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.71%28.64%28.74%29.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.193.203.4033.33%31.31%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.97%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.33%EV +1.32%E +0.291%K +0.374%G +0.005% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.70%EV -3.75%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV +0.867%E +0.193%K +0.248%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.63%EV -5.06%E -2.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV -1.37%E -0.312%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.49%EV -3.17%E -0.939%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -9.46%E -5.12%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -2.94%E -0.680%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -10.44%E -5.71%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -2.94%E -0.680%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.72%EV -6.04%E -3.14%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -3.62%E -0.841%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -2.60%E -0.765%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.83%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -4.74%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 16:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -4.57%E -2.34%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.83%EV -6.04%E -3.14%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.83%EV -6.04%E -3.14%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| BetUS | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -7.02%E -3.69%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.00%E -4.25%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.44%E -5.71%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -5.86%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -14.06%E -4.69%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -7.02%E -3.69%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -6.98%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 16:35 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -7.02%E -3.69%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -6.98%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 16:36 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.64%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.10%E -1.98%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -4.03%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.47%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 17:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.02%E -3.69%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.53%E -3.42%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.46%E -5.12%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -10.44%E -5.71%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.34%E -2.59%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -10.44%E -5.71%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.43%EV -10.79%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -8.00%E -4.25%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -11.46%E -2.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -12.89%E -7.24%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -11.46%E -2.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.46%E -5.12%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.46%E -5.12%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.46%E -5.12%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.16%EV -13.38%E -7.56%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -12.58%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -12.63%E -4.14%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -10.93%E -6.01%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -15.94%E -4.25%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-12 16:36 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.12%E -1.06%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -17.07%E -4.61%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.12%E -1.06%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -17.07%E -4.61%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -2.12%E -1.06%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.90%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -3.10%E -1.57%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -3.59%E -1.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -3.59%E -1.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -3.59%E -1.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -3.59%E -1.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -3.59%E -1.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -3.59%E -1.82%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.52%EV -4.08%E -2.08%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -18.19%E -4.98%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -4.08%E -2.08%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -19.31%E -5.36%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -4.08%E -2.08%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -19.31%E -5.36%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.33%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.37%EV -5.55%E -2.88%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -20.43%E -5.75%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -9.76%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.52%EV -7.51%E -3.97%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -21.55%E -6.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.19%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.41% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.79% | 0.2% | 2026-05-12 18:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.41% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.79% | 0.2% | 2026-05-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 0.2% | 2026-05-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.88% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.34% | 0.2% | 2026-05-12 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 18:55 |