The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

US Catanzaro 1929 v Ascoli

2026-10-24 15:15 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

US Catanzaro 1929 (Local)

Prediction 42.70%2.34fair odd
EV -6.06%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -5.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%42.51%42.74%44.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.112.102.2052.91%47.37%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ascoli (Visit)

Prediction 29.70%3.37fair odd
EV -4.97%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.69%29.68%29.65%30.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.023.003.2035.09%33.07%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.60%3.62fair odd
EV -6.15%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.17%27.81%27.60%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.213.203.4032.79%31.17%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: US Catanzaro 1929 (Local): 42.70%; Ascoli (Visit): 29.70%; Draw: 27.60%. For Ascoli (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.20, with an expected value of -4.97%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.15%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 07:55
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.15%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 07:50
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -14.43%E -4.66%K -6.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 07:50
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -14.43%E -4.66%K -6.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 07:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -14.43%E -4.66%K -6.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 07:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -6.06%E -2.75%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -14.43%E -4.66%K -6.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 07:49
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.19%E -3.81%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.15%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 07:43
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.19%E -3.81%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.29%E -3.17%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 07:45
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -9.47%E -4.47%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -7.53%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 07:44
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.33%E -4.92%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.91%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.33%E -4.92%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.67%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-17 07:50
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.33%E -4.92%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.67%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-17 07:50
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.33%E -4.92%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.67%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-17 07:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -12.46%E -6.08%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -13.05%E -4.14%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-17 07:49
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.46%E -6.08%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -11.67%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-17 07:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.46%E -6.08%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -11.67%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-17 08:00
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -12.46%E -6.08%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -14.43%E -4.66%K -6.87%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-17 07:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.80%EV -14.60%E -7.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.03%EV -15.37%E -5.39%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%EV -13.05%E -4.14%K -6.07%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-17 08:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 44.03%EV -19.29%E -10.21%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.69%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.28%EV -15.81%E -5.18%K -7.71%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-17 07:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 42.04%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.37%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.59%16.6%2026-10-17 08:40