L’École des cotes

Südtirol v Venezia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Südtirol (Local)

Prévision 22.92%4.36cote équitable
EV +6.83%
Avantage +1.47%
Kelly +1.87%
Croissance +0.127%

avec la cote maximale 4.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.77%22.87%23.01%24.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.653.993.954.6627.40%25.07%25.32%21.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Venezia (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.51%2.06cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -2.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.90%48.58%48.48%50.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.911.912.0058.82%52.44%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.57%3.50cote équitable
EV -0.005%
Avantage -0.002%
Kelly -0.002%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.85%28.55%28.51%30.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.153.173.5034.48%31.71%31.50%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.66I 21.46%NM 20.77%EV +6.83%E +1.47%K +1.87%G +0.127%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.16%EV -6.38%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.07%EV -4.86%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 13:45
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV +0.869%E +0.197%K +0.256%G +0.002%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.90%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.56%EV -5.15%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 13:45
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV +0.869%E +0.197%K +0.256%G +0.002%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.90%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.56%EV -5.15%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 13:45
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV +0.869%E +0.197%K +0.256%G +0.002%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 13:55
BetUS4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV +0.869%E +0.197%K +0.256%G +0.002%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 13:55
1xBet4.38I 22.83%NM 21.68%EV +0.410%E +0.094%K +0.121%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.46%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -6.01%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 13:55
Marathon Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -0.736%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -8.32%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 13:44
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -1.42%E -0.331%K -0.431%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -1.42%E -0.331%K -0.431%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 13:55
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -1.42%E -0.331%K -0.431%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.06%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 13:54
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 13:55
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.67%EV -3.47%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 09:55
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 13:45
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -9.29%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 13:55
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -6.38%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -3.96%E -2.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 09:55
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 13:55
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -5.41%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.00%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 09:55
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -5.41%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.00%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 09:55
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 13:45
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 13:45
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 13:45
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 13:45
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 13:45
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 13:45
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 13:45
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 13:45
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 13:45
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -4.44%E -2.26%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Bet Right3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.89%EV -8.32%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 13:45
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -3.96%E -2.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -15.72%E -5.33%K -8.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 13:45
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -3.96%E -2.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -15.72%E -5.33%K -8.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 13:55
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 13:55
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.09%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 13:55
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.91%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 09:55
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.26%EV -5.90%E -3.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -15.72%E -5.33%K -8.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Betclic (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.78%EV -9.29%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.01%EV -12.00%E -3.90%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 13:44
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 09:14
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -12.69%E -7.05%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-28 13:45
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.00%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 49.17%EV -17.54%E -10.32%K -25.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -17.15%E -5.91%K -9.02%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-28 13:55
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 13:45
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 13:45
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -9.29%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -16.09%E -9.30%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-28 09:14
NetBet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.12%EV -13.66%E -7.67%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.04%EV -15.72%E -5.33%K -8.06%G +0.000%16.7%2026-02-28 13:55
Parions Sport (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -15.18%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.61%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -15.72%E -5.33%K -8.06%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-28 13:45
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.16%EV -16.32%E -4.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 09:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%0.6%2026-02-28 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%1.0%2026-02-28 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%1.0%2026-02-28 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%1.2%2026-02-28 13:55
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%3.3%2026-02-28 13:55