La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Südtirol v Venezia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Südtirol (Local)
Predicción 22.92%4.36momio equitativo
EV +6.83%
Ventaja +1.47%
Kelly +1.87%
Crecimiento +0.127%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.77%22.87%23.01%24.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.653.993.954.6627.40%25.07%25.32%21.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Venezia (Visitante)
Predicción 48.51%2.06momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -2.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.90%48.58%48.48%50.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.911.912.0058.82%52.44%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.57%3.50momio equitativo
EV -0.005%
Ventaja -0.002%
Kelly -0.002%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.85%28.55%28.51%30.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.153.173.5034.48%31.71%31.50%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.77%EV +6.83%E +1.47%K +1.87%G +0.127% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.16%EV -6.38%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.07%EV -4.86%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV +0.869%E +0.197%K +0.256%G +0.002% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.90%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.56%EV -5.15%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV +0.869%E +0.197%K +0.256%G +0.002% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.90%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.56%EV -5.15%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Bovada | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV +0.869%E +0.197%K +0.256%G +0.002% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| BetUS | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV +0.869%E +0.197%K +0.256%G +0.002% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| 1xBet | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.68%EV +0.410%E +0.094%K +0.121%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.46%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -6.01%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -0.736%E -0.170%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -8.32%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 13:44 |
| DraftKings | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -1.42%E -0.331%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -1.42%E -0.331%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| FanDuel | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -1.42%E -0.331%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.06%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 13:54 |
| SportsBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.67%EV -3.47%E -1.75%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 09:55 |
| Fanatics | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -9.29%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -5.72%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -6.38%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -3.96%E -2.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 09:55 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Betsson | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -5.41%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.00%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 09:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -5.41%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.00%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 09:55 |
| BetRivers | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Casumo | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| betPARX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -2.99%E -1.49%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.40%EV -4.44%E -2.26%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Bet Right | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.89%EV -8.32%E -4.40%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| theScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -3.96%E -2.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -15.72%E -5.33%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -3.96%E -2.00%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -15.72%E -5.33%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Sky Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -10.59%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.09%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -14.29%E -4.76%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.91%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 09:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.26%EV -5.90%E -3.04%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -15.72%E -5.33%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.21%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.78%EV -9.29%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.01%EV -12.00%E -3.90%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-28 13:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -7.15%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-28 09:14 |
| BoyleSports | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.11%EV -12.69%E -7.05%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -8.58%E -2.68%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.00%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.17%EV -17.54%E -10.32%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -17.15%E -5.91%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| 888sport | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| William Hill | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.35%E -3.85%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -9.29%E -4.97%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -2.86%E -0.842%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -16.09%E -9.30%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-02-28 09:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.12%EV -13.66%E -7.67%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.04%EV -15.72%E -5.33%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -15.18%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.61%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -15.72%E -5.33%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.16%EV -16.32%E -4.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.40%EV -9.78%E -5.26%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -11.43%E -3.69%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-28 09:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |