L’École des cotes

Südtirol v Pescara

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 16:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Südtirol (Local)

Prévision 50.43%1.98cote équitable
EV -3.68%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -4.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.07%50.44%50.51%51.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.831.851.9160.98%54.71%54.20%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pescara (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.06%4.34cote équitable
EV +4.94%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.069%

avec la cote maximale 4.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.57%22.96%23.01%23.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.703.973.904.5527.03%25.20%25.64%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.51%3.77cote équitable
EV -0.601%
Avantage -0.160%
Kelly -0.218%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.43%26.61%26.48%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.393.403.7534.48%29.47%29.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.41%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.13%EV +4.94%E +1.09%K +1.39%G +0.069%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 15:00
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.41%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.13%EV +4.94%E +1.09%K +1.39%G +0.069%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 15:00
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -10.74%E -6.07%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV +1.48%E +0.337%K +0.436%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 15:49
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.85%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.68%EV -1.75%E -0.410%K -0.536%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.25%E -0.891%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 16:10
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 09:20
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 16:10
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -17.83%E -5.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 15:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -11.75%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -17.83%E -5.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 15:35
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -3.82%E -0.917%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.69%EV -5.64%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:05
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 16:10
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.59%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.70%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 16:05
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -8.22%E -4.52%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -6.59%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 09:05
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -8.22%E -4.52%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -6.59%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 09:05
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -0.601%E -0.160%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 15:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 13:55
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.71%E -4.22%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 23:35
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 09:05
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -7.71%E -4.22%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 16:05
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -7.71%E -4.22%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 16:05
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.71%E -4.22%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 16:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 12:29
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 16:05
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 16:05
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 16:05
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 16:05
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.95%EV -11.75%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -17.83%E -5.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-15 15:40
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 15:45
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.71%E -4.22%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 15:40
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.34%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 15:40
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 50.35%EV -17.30%E -10.55%K -27.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.17%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.47%EV -23.13%E -7.98%K -12.17%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-15 15:40
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.47%EV -10.74%E -6.07%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.02%EV -10.51%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.51%EV -10.67%E -3.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 15:49
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 15:45
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 09:05
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.19%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:40
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.19%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:40
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -7.71%E -4.22%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 16:05
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -7.71%E -4.22%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 15:40
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -8.22%E -4.52%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 15:45
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 23:35
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 23:34
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -11.75%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 06:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -12.76%E -7.37%K -17.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-15 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -12.76%E -7.37%K -17.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -20.48%E -6.83%K -10.24%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-15 09:40
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -11.24%E -6.39%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -14.66%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-15 09:05
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 50.09%EV -13.77%E -8.05%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.15%EV -14.66%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-15 16:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-03-15 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-03-15 16:10
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-03-15 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-03-15 16:05
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87%2.0%2026-03-15 16:10