La escuela de los momios

Südtirol v Pescara

Inicio: 2026-03-15 16:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Südtirol (Local)

Predicción 50.43%1.98momio equitativo
EV -3.68%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -4.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.07%50.44%50.51%51.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.831.851.9160.98%54.71%54.20%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pescara (Visitante)

Predicción 23.06%4.34momio equitativo
EV +4.94%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.069%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.57%22.96%23.01%23.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.703.973.904.5527.03%25.20%25.64%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.51%3.77momio equitativo
EV -0.601%
Ventaja -0.160%
Kelly -0.218%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.43%26.61%26.48%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.393.403.7534.48%29.47%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.41%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.13%EV +4.94%E +1.09%K +1.39%G +0.069%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 15:00
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.41%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.13%EV +4.94%E +1.09%K +1.39%G +0.069%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.47%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 15:00
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -10.74%E -6.07%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV +1.48%E +0.337%K +0.436%G +0.006%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 15:49
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.85%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.68%EV -1.75%E -0.410%K -0.536%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.47%EV -3.25%E -0.891%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 16:10
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 09:20
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 16:10
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -17.83%E -5.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 15:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -11.75%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -17.83%E -5.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 15:35
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -3.82%E -0.917%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.69%EV -5.64%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:05
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 16:10
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.59%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.70%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 16:05
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -8.22%E -4.52%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -6.59%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 09:05
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -8.22%E -4.52%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -6.59%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 09:05
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.19%E -2.76%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -0.601%E -0.160%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 15:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -3.68%E -1.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 13:55
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.71%E -4.22%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 23:35
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 09:05
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -7.71%E -4.22%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 16:05
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -7.71%E -4.22%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.55%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 16:05
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.71%E -4.22%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 16:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 12:29
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 16:05
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 16:05
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 16:05
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 16:05
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.95%EV -11.75%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -17.83%E -5.75%K -8.49%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-15 15:40
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 15:45
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -7.71%E -4.22%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -4.58%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 15:40
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -5.70%E -3.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.34%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 15:40
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 50.35%EV -17.30%E -10.55%K -27.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.17%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.47%EV -23.13%E -7.98%K -12.17%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-15 15:40
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.47%EV -10.74%E -6.07%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.02%EV -10.51%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.51%EV -10.67%E -3.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 15:49
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.23%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 15:45
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -5.90%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 09:05
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.19%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:40
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.19%EV -6.71%E -3.62%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:40
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -7.71%E -4.22%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -11.20%E -3.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 16:05
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.26%EV -7.71%E -4.22%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -12.53%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 15:40
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -8.22%E -4.52%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -12.36%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 15:45
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 23:35
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.23%E -5.13%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 23:34
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -11.75%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 06:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -12.76%E -7.37%K -17.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -13.85%E -4.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-15 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -12.76%E -7.37%K -17.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -20.48%E -6.83%K -10.24%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-15 09:40
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.17%EV -11.24%E -6.39%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.86%EV -14.66%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -9.88%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-15 09:05
NetBet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 50.09%EV -13.77%E -8.05%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.15%EV -14.66%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -15.18%E -4.74%K -6.90%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-15 16:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-03-15 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-03-15 16:10
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-03-15 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-03-15 16:05
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.79%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87%2.0%2026-03-15 16:10