The School of Odds
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Südtirol v Cesena FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 14:00 UTC

Final: Südtirol 1–1 Cesena FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Südtirol (Local)

Prediction 38.23%2.62fair odd
EV +0.152%
Edge +0.058%
Kelly +0.094%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.15%38.25%38.26%40.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.372.382.6248.78%42.13%42.02%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cesena FC (Visit)

Prediction 31.51%3.17fair odd
EV +0.840%
Edge +0.262%
Kelly +0.382%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.21%31.48%31.50%33.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.942.913.2036.36%33.98%34.36%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.26%3.30fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -0.988%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.86%30.27%30.25%31.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.023.053.2035.71%33.07%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Südtirol (Local): 38.23%; Cesena FC (Visit): 31.51%; Draw: 30.26%. For Cesena FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.840%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV +0.840%E +0.262%K +0.382%G +0.003%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 13:30
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV +0.840%E +0.262%K +0.382%G +0.003%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 13:30
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV +0.840%E +0.262%K +0.382%G +0.003%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 13:30
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV +0.840%E +0.262%K +0.382%G +0.003%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV +0.840%E +0.262%K +0.382%G +0.003%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV +0.840%E +0.262%K +0.382%G +0.003%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 13:30
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV +0.840%E +0.262%K +0.382%G +0.003%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV +0.840%E +0.262%K +0.382%G +0.003%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV +0.840%E +0.262%K +0.382%G +0.003%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 13:30
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.92%EV -6.73%E -2.76%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.03%EV -3.57%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.05%EV -4.37%E -1.38%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.05%EV +0.152%E +0.058%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.83%EV -3.89%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12%EV -5.58%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-31 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -5.58%E -2.26%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -3.89%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -4.68%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 13:35
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.41%EV -14.76%E -6.62%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -3.89%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-31 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -15.90%E -7.23%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -3.89%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-31 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -15.90%E -7.23%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -3.89%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-31 13:30
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 13:36
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 13:34
picklebet_au🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 13:34
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -13.75%E -4.83%K -7.43%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-31 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.56%EV -16.67%E -7.65%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-31 13:30
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -3.16%E -0.988%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 13:36
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.70%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 13:39
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.70%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 13:35
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 13:35
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -2.14%E -0.837%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -7.98%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.70%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -2.14%E -0.837%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -7.98%E -2.73%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.70%E -2.53%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 13:50
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -2.52%E -0.990%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 13:34
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -3.16%E -0.988%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 13:35
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -4.68%E -1.48%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 13:35
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 13:50
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 40.41%EV -18.96%E -8.94%K -16.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.54%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.06%EV -13.75%E -4.83%K -7.43%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-31 13:30
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.24%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 13:36
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -10.19%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -10.19%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.24%E -4.22%K -6.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -10.19%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-31 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.19%E -3.58%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -13.99%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.10%EV -11.14%E -3.95%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.93%EV -11.33%E -3.87%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-31 13:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.65%EV -13.99%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -11.14%E -3.95%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -13.75%E -4.83%K -7.43%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-31 13:40
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -12.85%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -4.44%E -1.77%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -12.85%E -4.46%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 13:50
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 13:35
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -13.99%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-31 13:30
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.37%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -13.34%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.34%EV -5.58%E -1.79%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 13:48
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -13.34%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -6.19%E -2.00%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 13:54
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.34%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-31 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.02%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.34%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-31 13:35
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.40%E -3.97%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.34%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 13:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.40%E -3.97%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.34%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.21%E -3.07%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 13:35
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.21%EV -13.34%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.64%EV -15.27%E -5.45%K -8.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-31 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -13.99%E -6.22%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.70%EV -13.34%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -10.73%E -3.64%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-31 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.57%EV -21.64%E -10.55%K -20.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.24%EV -13.34%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.18%EV -13.75%E -4.83%K -7.43%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-31 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-10-31 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-10-31 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-10-31 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-10-31 13:50
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08%2.1%2026-10-31 13:50