The School of Odds
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Sampdoria v Virtus Entella

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 18:31 UTC

Final: Sampdoria 2–0 Virtus Entella

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sampdoria (Local)

Prediction 40.74%2.45fair odd
EV -0.592%
Edge -0.243%
Kelly -0.411%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.07%40.64%40.81%42.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.242.252.4451.02%44.58%44.44%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virtus Entella (Visit)

Prediction 28.79%3.47fair odd
EV +2.49%
Edge +0.700%
Kelly +0.974%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.51%28.66%28.80%30.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.193.203.5633.90%31.38%31.25%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.47%3.28fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -0.879%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.24%30.70%30.38%33.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.993.003.1936.36%33.45%33.33%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sampdoria (Local): 40.74%; Virtus Entella (Visit): 28.79%; Draw: 30.47%. For Virtus Entella (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.76%EV -0.592%E -0.243%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.25%EV +2.49%E +0.700%K +0.974%G +0.024%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00%EV -10.42%E -3.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-31 18:15
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -2.11%E -0.622%K -0.881%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -13.16%E -4.62%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 18:19
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -2.11%E -0.622%K -0.881%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -14.44%E -6.88%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -2.11%E -0.622%K -0.881%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-31 18:10
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 18:10
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -9.15%E -4.10%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 10:25
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -9.15%E -4.10%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 10:24
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -9.15%E -4.10%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 10:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -9.15%E -4.10%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 10:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -9.15%E -4.10%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 10:25
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -9.15%E -4.10%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 10:25
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -9.15%E -4.10%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 10:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -9.15%E -4.10%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 10:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -9.15%E -4.10%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 10:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.99%EV -5.48%E -2.36%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-29 12:35
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -3.04%E -1.28%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 18:19
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 18:11
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.56%EV -8.74%E -3.90%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.23%EV -6.16%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-29 11:54
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -16.21%E -5.89%K -9.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 12:35
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -16.21%E -5.89%K -9.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -16.21%E -5.89%K -9.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 18:20
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 16:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 16:45
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-29 12:35
picklebet_au🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 18:05
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-29 12:35
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-29 12:34
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.54%EV -12.00%E -5.56%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-31 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -12.41%E -5.77%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-31 10:25
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -16.21%E -5.89%K -9.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-31 18:17
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.53%EV -4.67%E -1.99%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.73%EV -8.16%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.73%EV -2.80%E -0.879%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-30 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.58%EV -12.81%E -5.99%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-31 10:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.60%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-31 10:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 18:05
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 10:20
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 18:05
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -12.19%E -4.00%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 10:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.35%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -12.19%E -4.00%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.92%EV -10.73%E -3.66%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-31 18:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.00%EV -13.63%E -6.43%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -12.19%E -4.00%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.50%EV -13.16%E -4.62%K -7.12%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-31 18:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.59%EV -16.48%E -8.04%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.96%EV -12.19%E -4.00%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.45%EV -14.69%E -5.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%17.3%2026-10-31 10:25
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 18:19
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.33%E -3.70%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 18:19
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.11%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 18:10
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 18:20
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 18:20
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-30 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-30 15:30
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-30 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-30 15:30
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.41%E -5.77%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-31 06:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -12.41%E -5.77%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -14.69%E -5.25%K -8.16%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-30 12:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 42.51%EV -20.15%E -10.28%K -20.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.25%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.24%EV -13.16%E -4.62%K -7.12%G +0.000%20.0%2026-10-31 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%0.6%2026-10-31 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%0.9%2026-10-31 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97%1.1%2026-10-31 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97%1.1%2026-10-31 18:20
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-10-31 18:20

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