L’École des cotes

Sampdoria v Venezia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 18:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sampdoria (Local)

Prévision 21.49%4.65cote équitable
EV +4.85%
Avantage +0.994%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.061%

avec la cote maximale 4.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.31%21.46%21.27%23.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.954.224.104.8825.32%23.72%24.39%20.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Venezia (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.37%1.99cote équitable
EV -4.30%
Avantage -2.27%
Kelly -4.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.70%50.38%50.50%51.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.821.831.9060.24%54.91%54.64%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.15%3.55cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.423%
Kelly -0.592%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.90%28.16%28.23%30.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.253.303.5037.04%30.78%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.88I 20.49%NM 19.81%EV +4.85%E +0.994%K +1.25%G +0.061%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.77%EV -5.42%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 18:15
1xBet4.78I 20.92%NM 19.87%EV +2.70%E +0.565%K +0.714%G +0.019%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.07%EV -6.32%E -3.40%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.05%EV -7.96%E -2.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 18:25
LowVig.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV +0.981%E +0.209%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.40%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.48%EV -6.55%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 18:20
BetOnline.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV +0.981%E +0.209%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.40%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.48%EV -6.55%E -1.97%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 18:20
FanDuel4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV +0.981%E +0.209%K +0.265%G +0.003%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.43%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.56%E -5.19%K -7.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 18:25
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -1.17%E -0.254%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 18:00
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -1.17%E -0.254%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 18:20
BetUS4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -1.17%E -0.254%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 18:20
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.32%E -0.737%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.40%EV -4.81%E -2.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 18:15
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -3.32%E -0.737%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.88%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 18:00
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -3.32%E -0.737%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 18:10
Marathon Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.32%E -0.737%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.48%EV -7.67%E -2.34%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 18:20
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -3.32%E -0.737%K -0.947%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -15.56%E -5.19%K -7.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 18:25
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.46%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 18:10
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.46%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 18:09
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73%NM 20.15%EV -5.46%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.27%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -18.37%E -6.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-14 18:25
Betsson4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.54%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 18:10
NordicBet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -6.54%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 18:25
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 18:25
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 18:14
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 18:05
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 18:05
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.95%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.72%EV -10.85%E -6.13%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -15.56%E -5.19%K -7.78%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-14 18:14
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.70%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.43%EV -18.93%E -6.57%K -10.07%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -15.89%E -9.51%K -23.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -12.74%E -4.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-14 18:25
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.41%EV -9.76%E -2.32%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.02%EV -15.38%E -9.16%K -22.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -15.56%E -5.19%K -7.78%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-14 18:19
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 18:25
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 18:14
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.11%EV -8.33%E -4.58%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 18:10
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 20.05%EV -11.91%E -2.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 49.51%EV -16.39%E -9.87%K -24.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.44%EV -24.00%E -8.89%K -14.12%G +0.000%21.7%2026-03-14 18:25
Parions Sport (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 21.42%EV -12.98%E -3.21%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.14%EV -12.87%E -7.44%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-14 18:15
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.81%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 18:25
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:40
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:40
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:40
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:40
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:40
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:40
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:40
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:40
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:40
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:40
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 17:40
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 18:25
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 18:25
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 18:20
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 18:20
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -8.33%E -4.58%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 17:40
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -8.33%E -4.58%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 17:40
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -8.33%E -4.58%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 18:25
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 18:15
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -14.06%E -3.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.39%EV -11.86%E -6.78%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-14 18:25
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -15.13%E -3.83%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.97%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 17:40
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.23%EV -15.13%E -3.83%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.89%EV -11.36%E -6.45%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-14 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-03-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-03-14 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-03-14 18:20
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-03-14 18:20
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33%2.3%2026-03-14 18:20