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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Sampdoria v US Catanzaro 1929

开赛时间： 2026-09-19 15:15 UTC

最终结果： Sampdoria 2–1 US Catanzaro 1929

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sampdoria (主队)

预测 48.06%2.08公平赔率
EV -1.95%
优势 -0.956%
Kelly -1.88%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.04

博彩公司预测分布
45.71%48.07%48.04%49.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.931.952.0457.14%51.85%51.28%49.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

US Catanzaro 1929 (客队)

预测 25.11%3.98公平赔率
EV +3.97%
优势 +0.960%
Kelly +1.27%
增长率 +0.050%

假设最高赔率为 4.14

博彩公司预测分布
23.05%25.04%25.10%27.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.603.504.1431.25%27.82%28.57%24.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.82%3.73公平赔率
EV -3.44%
优势 -0.955%
Kelly -1.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.03%26.89%26.86%28.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.383.383.6032.26%29.59%29.63%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sampdoria (主队)：48.06%；US Catanzaro 1929 (客队)：25.11%；平局：26.82%。 对于“US Catanzaro 1929 (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.98。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.14，对应+3.97%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.09%EV -5.32%E -2.70%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.36%EV +3.97%E +0.960%K +1.27%G +0.050%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.55%EV -5.85%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 15:11
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV +0.457%E +0.114%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 14:56
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV +0.457%E +0.114%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -6.76%E -3.48%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +0.457%E +0.114%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 15:06
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -6.76%E -3.48%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV +0.457%E +0.114%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 15:06
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -11.08%E -5.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV +0.457%E +0.114%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 15:11
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -8.68%E -4.57%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -2.05%E -0.527%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -3.31%E -0.860%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 15:02
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -3.31%E -0.860%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 15:02
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.21%EV -9.16%E -4.85%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.22%EV -3.56%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 15:01
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.39%EV -3.81%E -0.995%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 15:02
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.10%EV -4.83%E -2.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 15:06
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 15:02
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -10.12%E -5.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 15:11
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.82%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 14:56
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -11.08%E -5.99%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -5.82%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -16.85%E -5.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 14:56
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.08%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 14:56
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.64%EV -7.72%E -4.02%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -8.33%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 15:05
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.64%EV -7.72%E -4.02%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -8.33%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 15:06
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.87%E -1.94%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -9.59%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 15:01
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.59%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 14:51
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -7.72%E -4.02%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.59%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 15:06
NetBet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -12.52%E -6.88%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -10.84%E -3.05%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-19 15:11
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -1.95%E -0.956%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:41
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -1.95%E -0.956%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 14:41
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 14:51
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 15:02
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 14:51
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 15:02
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 15:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-19 15:02
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 15:11
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -8.68%E -4.57%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 15:05
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -8.68%E -4.57%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 14:59
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 15:02
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 15:02
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.20%E -4.29%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 15:02
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.94%EV -12.04%E -6.58%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -12.10%E -3.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 14:53
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.92%EV -12.04%E -6.58%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.27%EV -12.85%E -3.70%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.82%EV -12.29%E -3.76%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 15:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.67%EV -9.64%E -5.13%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -13.36%E -3.87%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 15:06
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -4.83%E -2.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.61%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 14:41
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -5.32%E -2.70%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -14.61%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 14:41
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -5.32%E -2.70%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -14.61%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 14:41
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -5.32%E -2.70%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -14.61%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 14:40
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -5.32%E -2.70%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -14.61%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 14:41
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -5.32%E -2.70%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -14.61%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 14:41
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -5.32%E -2.70%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -14.61%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 14:41
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.28%E -3.22%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -14.61%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 14:51
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.51%EV -15.89%E -9.08%K -21.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -14.61%E -4.30%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -14.17%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-19 15:06
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.89%EV -5.80%E -2.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -15.87%E -4.74%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 14:41
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.71%EV -5.80%E -2.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -17.12%E -5.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.71%EV -5.80%E -2.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -17.12%E -5.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.49%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 14:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.77%EV -6.76%E -3.48%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -17.12%E -5.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.32%EV -12.83%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 14:41
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 45.91%EV -10.12%E -5.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.83%EV -19.63%E -6.14%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.26%EV -15.51%E -4.92%K -7.21%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-19 14:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-09-19 15:02
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-09-19 15:02
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-09-19 15:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-09-19 15:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-09-19 15:11