La scuola delle quote

Sampdoria v Südtirol

Inizio: 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

Finale: Sampdoria 1–0 Südtirol

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sampdoria (Casa)

Previsione 40.47%2.47quota equa
EV -1.66%
Vantaggio -0.682%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.64%40.51%40.54%42.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.122.272.252.4347.17%44.13%44.44%41.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Südtirol (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.48%3.78quota equa
EV +1.43%
Vantaggio +0.372%
Kelly +0.504%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.65%26.46%26.29%28.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.443.403.8332.26%29.08%29.41%26.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 33.05%3.03quota equa
EV -0.856%
Vantaggio -0.285%
Kelly -0.428%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.56%33.02%33.17%35.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.782.803.0040.00%35.97%35.71%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.61%EV -1.66%E -0.682%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.13%EV +1.43%E +0.372%K +0.504%G +0.007%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.26%EV -9.78%E -3.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 12:59
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.18%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV +0.632%E +0.166%K +0.226%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 12:59
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.95%EV -3.68%E -1.55%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -0.692%E -0.185%K -0.252%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.70%EV -9.45%E -3.45%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -2.02%E -0.545%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 12:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -2.02%E -0.545%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -13.41%E -5.12%K -8.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:00
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 39.98%EV -5.30%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -3.34%E -0.915%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.39%EV -10.11%E -3.72%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 12:59
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 39.98%EV -5.30%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -3.34%E -0.915%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.39%EV -10.11%E -3.72%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37%NM 40.26%EV -4.49%E -1.90%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 39.58%EV -5.71%E -2.45%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -12.42%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS2.33I 42.92%NM 39.58%EV -5.71%E -2.45%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -12.42%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -14.08%E -5.41%K -8.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -5.19%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.42%EV -7.80%E -2.79%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 12:58
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -10.97%E -4.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.51%E -0.850%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -2.87%E -1.20%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 12:59
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -8.13%E -2.92%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -17.38%E -6.95%K -11.59%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-01 12:59
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.75%E -4.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.75%E -4.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.75%E -4.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.75%E -4.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.75%E -4.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.75%E -4.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.75%E -4.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.20%EV -12.18%E -5.61%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 12:58
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.97%E -4.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 13:00
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -12.42%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.53%EV -11.78%E -5.40%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -4.82%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.53%EV -11.78%E -5.40%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -4.82%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 13:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.97%E -4.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -0.856%E -0.285%K -0.428%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 13:00
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 12:59
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 12:59
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 41.45%EV -12.58%E -5.83%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -12.99%E -6.04%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -12.42%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -13.93%E -4.29%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.93%E -4.29%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.93%E -4.29%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.93%E -4.29%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-01 13:00
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.50%EV -14.20%E -6.70%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -13.93%E -4.29%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -12.99%E -6.04%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.93%E -4.29%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-01 13:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -12.99%E -6.04%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -15.26%E -4.77%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -10.97%E -4.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -17.91%E -5.78%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -14.08%E -5.41%K -8.80%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.94%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17%0.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.94%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17%0.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.94%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17%0.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%1.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.47%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.94%3.0%2026-05-01 13:00