مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sampdoria v Südtirol

البداية: 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Sampdoria 1–0 Südtirol

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sampdoria (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.47%2.47السعر العادل
EV -1.66%
الأفضلية -0.682%
Kelly -1.16%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.64%40.51%40.54%42.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.122.272.252.4347.17%44.13%44.44%41.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Südtirol (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.48%3.78السعر العادل
EV +1.43%
الأفضلية +0.372%
Kelly +0.504%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.65%26.46%26.29%28.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.443.403.8332.26%29.08%29.41%26.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 33.05%3.03السعر العادل
EV -0.856%
الأفضلية -0.285%
Kelly -0.428%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.56%33.02%33.17%35.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.782.803.0040.00%35.97%35.71%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.61%EV -1.66%E -0.682%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.13%EV +1.43%E +0.372%K +0.504%G +0.007%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.26%EV -9.78%E -3.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-01 12:59
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.18%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV +0.632%E +0.166%K +0.226%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 12:59
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.95%EV -3.68%E -1.55%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -0.692%E -0.185%K -0.252%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.70%EV -9.45%E -3.45%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -2.02%E -0.545%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 12:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -2.02%E -0.545%K -0.747%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -13.41%E -5.12%K -8.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:00
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 39.98%EV -5.30%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -3.34%E -0.915%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.39%EV -10.11%E -3.72%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 12:59
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 39.98%EV -5.30%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -3.34%E -0.915%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.39%EV -10.11%E -3.72%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37%NM 40.26%EV -4.49%E -1.90%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 39.58%EV -5.71%E -2.45%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -12.42%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS2.33I 42.92%NM 39.58%EV -5.71%E -2.45%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -12.42%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -4.66%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -14.08%E -5.41%K -8.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -5.19%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.42%EV -7.80%E -2.79%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 12:58
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -10.97%E -4.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -2.51%E -0.850%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -2.87%E -1.20%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 12:59
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -8.13%E -2.92%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-01 12:59
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -17.38%E -6.95%K -11.59%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-01 12:59
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.75%E -4.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.75%E -4.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.75%E -4.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.75%E -4.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.75%E -4.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.75%E -4.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -9.75%E -4.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.20%EV -12.18%E -5.61%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 12:58
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.97%E -4.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 13:00
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -12.42%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.53%EV -11.78%E -5.40%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -4.82%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.53%EV -11.78%E -5.40%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -4.82%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 13:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -4.90%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.97%E -4.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -0.856%E -0.285%K -0.428%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 13:00
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 12:59
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 12:59
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 41.45%EV -12.58%E -5.83%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -12.99%E -6.04%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -12.42%E -4.69%K -7.53%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -13.93%E -4.29%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.93%E -4.29%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-01 12:59
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.93%E -4.29%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -13.93%E -4.29%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-01 13:00
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.50%EV -14.20%E -6.70%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -13.93%E -4.29%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -12.99%E -6.04%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -13.93%E -4.29%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-01 13:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -12.99%E -6.04%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -15.26%E -4.77%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -10.97%E -4.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -17.91%E -5.78%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -14.08%E -5.41%K -8.80%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-01 13:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.94%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17%0.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.94%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17%0.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.89%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.94%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.17%0.2%2026-05-01 13:00
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%1.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.47%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.94%3.0%2026-05-01 13:00