L’École des cotes

Sampdoria v Avellino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 16:19 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sampdoria (Local)

Prévision 38.11%2.62cote équitable
EV -0.921%
Avantage -0.354%
Kelly -0.576%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.90%38.03%38.14%41.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.372.402.6046.51%42.19%41.67%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Avellino (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.19%3.43cote équitable
EV +5.10%
Avantage +1.42%
Kelly +1.96%
Croissance +0.100%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.62%29.24%29.20%32.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.223.203.6037.04%31.02%31.25%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.70%3.06cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -0.634%
Kelly -0.951%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.45%32.73%32.66%35.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.792.813.0043.48%35.90%35.59%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:15
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:04
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:15
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:14
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:14
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:15
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:15
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -16.93%E -7.76%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV +3.64%E +1.02%K +1.43%G +0.052%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 16:15
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.91%EV -17.31%E -7.98%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV +3.64%E +1.02%K +1.43%G +0.052%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:15
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.91%EV -17.31%E -7.98%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV +3.64%E +1.02%K +1.43%G +0.052%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:14
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -18.07%E -8.40%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV +2.18%E +0.622%K +0.871%G +0.019%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.00%EV +1.01%E +0.292%K +0.410%G +0.004%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -6.48%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 16:14
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.82%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -2.20%E -0.657%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 16:15
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -0.921%E -0.354%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -3.08%E -0.927%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 16:15
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -0.921%E -0.354%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -3.08%E -0.927%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -3.66%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 16:14
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -3.66%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:15
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -3.66%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -14.98%E -5.76%K -9.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:14
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -5.12%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 16:14
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -5.12%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -18.25%E -7.30%K -12.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 16:15
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 16:15
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 16:15
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.61%EV -7.79%E -2.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 16:14
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.61%EV -7.79%E -2.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 16:15
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -18.25%E -7.30%K -12.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 16:15
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.14%EV -4.35%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -7.16%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -9.10%E -3.27%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:13
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:14
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 39.30%EV -13.50%E -5.95%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.50%EV -8.62%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.20%EV -9.42%E -3.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 16:14
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.60%EV -8.92%E -2.86%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.46%EV -9.75%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:14
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.50%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:14
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.50%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:14
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -10.45%E -4.45%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.50%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -9.50%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -14.98%E -5.76%K -9.36%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-22 16:15
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.51%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -9.50%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -19.89%E -8.12%K -13.72%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-22 16:15
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.52%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.97%EV -11.06%E -4.07%K -6.43%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-22 16:13
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:14
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 16:14
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -9.69%E -4.09%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-22 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -9.69%E -4.09%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-22 16:14
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.01%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 27.60%EV -13.88%E -4.70%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.40%EV -24.79%E -10.78%K -19.07%G +0.000%22.8%2026-03-22 16:15
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -2.83%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -15.34%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 16:15
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -15.34%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 16:14
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -15.34%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 16:14
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -15.34%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 16:14
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -15.34%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 16:14
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -15.34%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -1.90%E -0.634%K -0.951%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 16:15
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -15.34%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 16:14
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -18.26%E -6.52%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -21.18%E -7.84%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.60%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-22 16:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.15%0.3%2026-03-22 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.30%0.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%0.8%2026-03-22 16:15
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%0.8%2026-03-22 16:15
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 37.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.98%1.5%2026-03-22 16:15