La escuela de los momios

Sampdoria v Avellino

Inicio: 2026-03-22 16:19 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sampdoria (Local)

Predicción 38.11%2.62momio equitativo
EV -0.921%
Ventaja -0.354%
Kelly -0.576%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.90%38.03%38.14%41.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.372.402.6046.51%42.19%41.67%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Avellino (Visitante)

Predicción 29.19%3.43momio equitativo
EV +5.10%
Ventaja +1.42%
Kelly +1.96%
Crecimiento +0.100%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.62%29.24%29.20%32.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.223.203.6037.04%31.02%31.25%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 32.70%3.06momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -0.634%
Kelly -0.951%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.45%32.73%32.66%35.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.792.813.0043.48%35.90%35.59%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:15
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:04
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:15
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:14
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:14
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:15
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:15
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV +5.10%E +1.42%K +1.96%G +0.100%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -16.93%E -7.76%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV +3.64%E +1.02%K +1.43%G +0.052%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 16:15
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.91%EV -17.31%E -7.98%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV +3.64%E +1.02%K +1.43%G +0.052%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:15
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.91%EV -17.31%E -7.98%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV +3.64%E +1.02%K +1.43%G +0.052%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 16:14
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -18.07%E -8.40%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV +2.18%E +0.622%K +0.871%G +0.019%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.00%EV +1.01%E +0.292%K +0.410%G +0.004%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.87%EV -6.48%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 16:14
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.82%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -2.20%E -0.657%K -0.937%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 16:15
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -0.921%E -0.354%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -3.08%E -0.927%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 16:15
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -0.921%E -0.354%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -3.08%E -0.927%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -3.66%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 16:14
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -3.66%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:15
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -3.66%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -14.98%E -5.76%K -9.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:14
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -5.12%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 16:14
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -5.12%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -18.25%E -7.30%K -12.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 16:15
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 16:15
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.64%E -2.71%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 16:15
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.61%EV -7.79%E -2.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 16:14
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.61%EV -7.79%E -2.76%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 16:15
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -6.58%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -18.25%E -7.30%K -12.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 16:15
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.14%EV -4.35%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -7.16%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -9.10%E -3.27%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:13
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -8.04%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 16:14
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 39.30%EV -13.50%E -5.95%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.50%EV -8.62%E -2.76%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.20%EV -9.42%E -3.40%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-22 16:14
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.60%EV -8.92%E -2.86%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.46%EV -9.75%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 16:14
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.50%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:14
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.50%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:14
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -10.45%E -4.45%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.50%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 16:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -9.50%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -14.98%E -5.76%K -9.36%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-22 16:15
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.51%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -9.50%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -19.89%E -8.12%K -13.72%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-22 16:15
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.52%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -10.96%E -3.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.97%EV -11.06%E -4.07%K -6.43%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-22 16:13
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 16:14
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 16:14
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -9.69%E -4.09%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-22 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -9.69%E -4.09%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -12.42%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-22 16:14
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.01%EV -16.16%E -7.35%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 27.60%EV -13.88%E -4.70%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.40%EV -24.79%E -10.78%K -19.07%G +0.000%22.8%2026-03-22 16:15
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -2.83%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -15.34%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 16:15
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -15.34%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 16:14
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -15.34%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 16:14
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -15.34%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 16:14
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -15.34%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 16:14
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -15.34%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -1.90%E -0.634%K -0.951%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 16:15
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -15.34%E -5.29%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-22 16:14
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -18.26%E -6.52%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 16:15
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -21.18%E -7.84%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.60%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-22 16:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.94%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.15%0.3%2026-03-22 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.30%0.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%0.8%2026-03-22 16:15
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%0.8%2026-03-22 16:15
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 37.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.98%1.5%2026-03-22 16:15