Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sampdoria v Arezzo

2026-10-18 17:30 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sampdoria (Local)

Prediction 51.37%1.95fair odd
EV -0.856%
Edge -0.444%
Kelly -0.921%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.12%51.19%51.39%52.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.821.801.9362.50%54.92%55.56%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arezzo (Visit)

Prediction 22.17%4.51fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -0.816%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.71%22.31%22.19%24.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.993.924.3528.17%25.05%25.48%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.46%3.78fair odd
EV -0.782%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.284%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.50%26.50%26.43%27.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.353.7532.26%29.51%29.85%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sampdoria (Local): 51.37%; Arezzo (Visit): 22.17%; Draw: 26.46%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -0.782%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -0.856%E -0.444%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -13.53%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 17:49
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -0.856%E -0.444%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -13.53%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 17:49
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -0.856%E -0.444%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -13.53%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -0.856%E -0.444%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -13.53%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -0.856%E -0.444%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -13.53%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 17:50
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -0.856%E -0.444%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -13.53%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 17:50
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -0.856%E -0.444%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -13.53%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 17:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -0.856%E -0.444%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -13.53%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -0.856%E -0.444%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -13.53%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -11.37%E -3.39%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -9.09%E -2.22%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 18:25
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -3.94%E -2.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -16.85%E -4.49%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-11 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.14%EV -4.45%E -2.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.88%EV -16.85%E -4.49%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -15.33%E -4.79%K -6.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -4.97%E -2.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -17.96%E -4.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -15.33%E -4.79%K -6.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-11 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.26%EV -5.48%E -2.98%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -17.96%E -4.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -15.33%E -4.79%K -6.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-11 17:49
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.26%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.66%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -0.782%E -0.209%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 17:49
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.88%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.82%EV -3.55%E -0.816%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.30%EV -4.49%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.99%E -3.28%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.88%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:49
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.94%EV -7.53%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.37%EV -7.32%E -1.75%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.69%EV -3.69%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 18:33
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.53%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.88%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.75%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.53%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.77%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-11 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.53%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.88%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.53%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.88%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 19:08
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.53%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.31%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 17:49
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.53%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.09%E -2.22%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-11 17:49
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.53%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -9.09%E -2.22%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-11 17:50
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -7.53%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.88%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 18:44
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -7.53%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.88%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -7.53%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.88%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -7.53%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.88%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 18:44
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.53%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.53%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-11 18:44
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.53%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.53%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-11 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.83%EV -7.53%E -4.19%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -13.53%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-11 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.56%E -4.81%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -6.88%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.56%EV -3.69%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 18:24
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.81%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.09%E -2.22%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 17:49
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.81%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.09%E -2.22%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 17:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.18%EV -8.56%E -4.81%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%EV -21.29%E -6.00%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%EV -17.98%E -5.80%K -8.56%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-11 17:50
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -10.10%E -5.77%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.31%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.40%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-11 19:00
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -11.13%E -6.43%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -16.85%E -4.49%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -14.01%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-11 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -11.64%E -6.77%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -15.75%E -4.14%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -10.04%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-11 17:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.34%EV -12.16%E -7.11%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.22%EV -12.42%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.44%EV -12.16%E -3.66%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-11 17:53
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.80%EV -12.67%E -7.45%K -18.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -16.85%E -4.49%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -12.69%E -3.84%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-11 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 52.05%EV -17.81%E -11.13%K -29.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.92%EV -15.75%E -4.14%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.03%EV -15.33%E -4.79%K -6.97%G +0.000%20.1%2026-10-11 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 50.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.51%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.16%16.9%2026-10-11 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-11 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-11 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-10-11 19:25