The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Pisa v Palermo

Kickoff: 2026-10-28 18:02 UTC

Final: Pisa 3–3 Palermo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pisa (Local)

Prediction 40.74%2.45fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.45%40.65%40.78%42.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.262.262.3550.25%44.25%44.15%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Palermo (Visit)

Prediction 31.52%3.17fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.462%
Kelly +0.669%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 3.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.22%31.50%31.44%33.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.892.853.2238.02%34.61%35.09%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.75%3.60fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -0.826%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.28%27.85%27.78%29.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.333.5032.26%30.40%30.08%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pisa (Local): 40.74%; Palermo (Visit): 31.52%; Draw: 27.75%. For Palermo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.07%EV +1.49%E +0.462%K +0.669%G +0.010%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.73%EV -6.50%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-28 17:45
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV +0.856%E +0.267%K +0.389%G +0.003%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 17:50
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -2.30%E -0.741%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -12.60%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-28 17:50
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -2.30%E -0.741%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-28 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -2.30%E -0.741%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-28 17:50
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.13%EV -5.90%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.85%EV -2.93%E -0.950%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 17:55
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.87%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.81%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.81%EV -4.82%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.37%EV -9.00%E -2.74%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-28 17:20
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-28 17:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-28 17:00
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-28 17:49
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-28 17:54
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-28 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-28 17:55
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.41%E -5.77%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-28 17:29
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.02%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 17:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.62%EV -4.67%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.22%EV -7.02%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-28 17:15
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.02%E -2.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-28 17:20
picklebet_au🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-28 17:35
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 17:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 17:50
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.60%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-28 17:15
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.23%E -3.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-28 17:23
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -9.23%E -3.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-28 17:19
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.18%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.18%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.18%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 17:15
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.18%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 17:15
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.18%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 17:15
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.18%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.18%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 17:15
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.18%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.27%E -1.82%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.18%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -10.18%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 17:20
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.18%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-28 17:10
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.18%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-28 17:10
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.18%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.05%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-28 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 41.13%EV -13.23%E -6.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.06%EV -11.12%E -3.94%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.81%EV -12.60%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-28 17:33
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -2.89%E -0.826%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-28 16:15
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.67%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-28 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -4.28%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-28 17:45
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-28 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-28 17:20
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.38%E -4.72%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-28 17:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -12.41%E -5.77%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-28 17:44
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -14.45%E -6.88%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-28 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.30%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.44%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 17:40
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -7.12%E -3.12%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-28 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -13.33%E -4.85%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-28 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.34%E -3.71%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -14.90%E -5.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-28 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -9.16%E -4.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -14.90%E -5.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.22%E -3.50%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-28 17:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 42.22%EV -18.93%E -9.51%K -19.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.11%EV -14.90%E -5.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.67%EV -12.60%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%19.0%2026-10-28 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.44%EV -12.41%E -5.77%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -16.48%E -6.22%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -9.83%E -3.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-28 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 39.71%EV -12.01%E -5.56%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.62%EV -17.11%E -6.51%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.67%EV -13.99%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-28 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-10-28 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-10-28 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-10-28 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-10-28 17:50
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-10-28 17:50